Objective: To establish evidence based guidelines for growth monitoring on a population basis. Study design: Several auxological referral criteria were formulated and applied to longitudinal growth data from four different patient groups, as well as three samples from the general population. Results: Almost 30% of pathology can be detected by height standard deviation score (HSDS) below -3 or at least two observations of HSDS below -2.5 at a low false-positive rate (<1%) in 0-3-year-old infants. For 3-10-year olds, a rule concerning distance to target height of >2 SD in combination with HSDS <-2.0 has the best predictive value. In combination with a rule on severe short stature (<-2.5 SDS) and a minor contribution from a rule on "height deflection", 85.7% of children with Turner syndrome and 76.5% of children who are short because of various disorders are detected at a false-positive rate of 1.5-2%.Conclusions: The proposed guidelines for growth monitoring show high sensitivity at an acceptably low false-positive rate in 3-10-year-old children. Distance to target height is the most important criterion. Below the age of 3 years, the sensitivity is considerably lower. The resulting algorithm appears to be suitable for industrialised countries, but requires further testing in other populations.

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Persistent URL dx.doi.org/10.1136/adc.2007.120188, hdl.handle.net/1765/29057
Grote, F.K, van Dommelen, P, Oostdijk, W, de Muinck Keizer-Schrama, S.M.P.F, Verkerk, P.H, Wit, J.M, & van Buuren, S. (2008). Developing evidence-based guidelines for referral for short stature. Archives of Disease in Childhood: an international peer-reviewed journal for health professionals and researchers covering conception to adolescence, 93(3), 212–217. doi:10.1136/adc.2007.120188