Alsem, K.J.

model party consideration choice election intention utility journal parameter individual distribution voting forecasting stage table vote intention variable option consideration sets voting behavior probability prediction research probit result behavior state forecast category voter netherland value model parameters vote intention stage voter choice outcome sampling vector marketing university observation sample section method multinomial probit model element response respondent dependence multinomial multivariate approach matrix paper two-stage two-stage model difference information science candidate member state dependence bayesian covariance interest deviation 53–71 share american analysis forecasting model statistic state dependence parameter account literature choice model multinomial probit sampler econometrics party-specific