View Author

Strikholm, B.

( B. Strikholm)


model change series cycle tv-star pattern parameter business cycle tv-star model business seasonality transition production function autoregressive difference parameter constancy result constancy linearity output testing time series table quarter hypothesis variation production series country figure component output series coefficient coef ficients g 7 countries time-varying statistic autoregressive parameters tv-ar example modelling 4 yt −1 section japan ficient 4 yt −d effect france nonlinear business cycle fluctuations structure inventory transition functions reason autoregressive structure p-value tv-ar model germany fluctuation intercept nonlinearity value society fl uctuations evidence restriction uctuation δ ∗ dt business cycles journal society 2003 sources hypotheses variable growth cause canada level fi rst differences intercepts ar 0.19