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price agent regime decision market prediction markov probability system model component order evaluator approach service tac scm process figure distribution information network management design customer research product demand future environment supply method trading business minnetac supplier number result inventory chain support example density collin pricing ketter gaussian trend market conditions procurement matrix condition analysis planning estimate supply chain management decision processes experiment horizon n-day competition trading agent competition section software article order probability price trends change production planning horizon h offer problem price distributions university simulation planning horizon performance strategy architecture scarcity kl-divergence