Looman, C.W.N.

Epidemiology and health-care utilisation of wrist fractures in older adults in The Netherlands, 1997-2009 (Article)

2013-04-01T00:00:00Z

Introduction: Wrist fractures are common in older adults and are expected to increase because of ageing populations worldwide. The introduction of plate and screw fixation has changed the management of this trauma in many patients. For policymaking it is essential to gain insight into trends in epidemiology and healthcare utilisation. The purpose of this study was to determine trends in incidence, hospitalisation and operative treatment of wrist fractures. Methods: A population-based study of patients aged 50 years and older using the Dutch National Injury Surveillance System and the National Hospital Discharge Registry. Data on emergency department visits, hospitalisations and operative treatment for wrist fractures within the period 1997-2009 were analysed. Results: In women, the age-standardised incidence rate of wrist fractures decreased from 497.2 per 100,000 persons (95% confidence interval, 472.3-522.1) in 1997 to 445.1 (422.8-467.4) in 2009 (P for trend <0.001). In men, no significant trends were observed in the same time period. Hospitalisation rates increased from 30.1 (28.3-31.9) in 1997 to 78.9 (75.1-82.8) in 2009 in women (P < 0.001), and from 6.4 (6.0-6.8) to 18.4 (17.3-19.5) in men (P < 0.001). There was a strong increase in operative treatment of distal radius fractures, especially due to plate fixation techniques in all age groups. Conclusion: Incidence rates of wrist fractures decreased in women and remained stable in men, but hospitalisation rates strongly increased due to a steep rise in operative treatments. The use of plate and screw fixation techniques for distal radius fractures increased in all age groups.

Sociocognitive determinants of observed and self-reported compliance to hand hygiene guidelines in child day care centers (Article)

2013-03-18T00:00:00Z

Background: Although hand hygiene (HH) has proven to be an effective measure to prevent infections, HH compliance is generally low. We assessed sociocognitive determinants of caregivers' HH behavior in child day care centers (DCCs) to develop an effective HH intervention. Methods: Caregivers' compliance to HH guidelines was observed. Observed caregivers completed a questionnaire on self-reported HH compliance, sociocognitive determinants, and sociodemographic data. To determine sociocognitive determinants of observed compliance, multilevel logistic regression analyses were performed. Self-reported compliance was analyzed using linear regression. Results: In 122 participating DCCs, 350 caregivers and 2,003 HH opportunities were observed. The response rate on the questionnaire was 100%. Overall observed HH compliance was 42% (841/2,003). Overall mean self-reported HH compliance was 8.7 (scale, 0-10). Guideline knowledge (odds ratio [OR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-1.56) and perceived disease severity (OR, 0.93; 95% CI: 0.87-0.99) were associated with observed compliance. Guideline knowledge (β = 0.31; P < .001), guideline awareness (β = 0.16; P < .001), perceived importance (β = 0.20; P = .004), perceived behavioral control (β = 0.24; P < .001), habit (β = 0.27; P < .001), and children at home (β = 0.30; P = .002) were associated with self-reported compliance. Conclusion: When developing HH interventions for caregivers in DCCs, improving guideline knowledge should be considered as this was associated with both observed and self-reported HH compliance. Furthermore, increasing guideline awareness, perceived importance, and perceived behavioral control can contribute to better HH, as well as making HH a habitual behavior.

Computer screen saver hand hygiene information curbs a negative trend in hand hygiene behavior (Article)

2012-03-13T00:00:00Z

Background: Appropriate hand hygiene among health care workers is the most important infection prevention measure; however, compliance is generally low. Gain-framed messages (ie, messages that emphasize the benefits of hand hygiene rather than the risks of noncompliance) may be most effective, but have not been tested. Methods: The study was conducted in a 27-bed neonatal intensive care unit. We performed an inter- rupted time series analysis of objectively measured hand disinfection events. We used electronic devices in hand alcohol dispensers, which continuously documented the frequency of hand disinfection events. In addition, hand hygiene compliance before and after the intervention period were directly observed. Results: The negative trend in hand hygiene events per patient-day before the intervention (decrease by 2.3 [standard error, 0.5] per week) changed to a significant positive trend (increase of 1.5 [0.5] per week) after the intervention (P < .001). The direct observations confirmed these results, showing a significant improvement in hand hygiene compliance from 193 of 303 (63.6%) observed hand hygiene events at pretest to 201 of 281 (71.5%) at posttest. Conclusions: We conclude that gain-framed messages concerning hand hygiene presented on screen savers may improve hand hygiene compliance.

Valgerelateerde ziekenhuisopnamen bij ouderen in Nederland (Article)

2012-01-01T00:00:00Z

Introductie: Eén op de drie personen ouder dan 65 jaar valt jaarlijks. De helft hiervan valt zelfs meerdere malen per jaar. Een valincident kan in deze leeftijdsgroep tot aanzienlijk lichamelijk letsel leiden. In verband met het bij de val opgelopen letsel bezoekt een groot deel van de oudere vallers een huisarts of de Spoedeisende Hulp. In 10% van alle valincidenten leiden de gevolgen van de val tot een ziekenhuisopname. Ziekenhuisopname na een val is voornamelijk nodig bij een heupfractuur (50%), fractuur van de bovenste extremiteit (13%) of hoofdletsel (10%). Naast lichamelijk letsel heeft een val vaak ook grote langdurige negatieve invloed op de kwaliteit van leven door bijvoorbeeld valangst. De oorzaak van vallen bij ouderen is meestal multifactorieel bepaald. Risicofactoren die verband houden met valincidenten zijn onder andere hogere leeftijd, vrouwelijk geslacht, gebruik van bepaalde geneesmiddelen en comorbiditeit. Omdat de onderliggende oorzaak voor het vallen meestal niet aangepakt wordt, blijft de kans op een nieuwe val onverminderd aanwezig. De Nederlandse bevolking vergrijsd in snel tempo. Naar schatting is in 2040 een kwart van de bevolking 65 jaar of ouder (15% in 2008). Deze vergrijzing wordt wereldwijd waargenomen. De verwachting is dat een dergelijke verschuiving in de bevolkingsopbouw een grote invloed heeft op leeftijdsgebonden zorgbehoefte. Aangezien valincidentie en val- gerelateerd letsel leeftijdsafhankelijk zijn, zal ook de val-gerelateerde zorgconsumptie naar verwachting stijgen. Het doel van deze studie is trends te bepalen in dit valgerelateerde zorggebruik en opnameduur in het ziekenhuis bij ouderen.

Promoting STI testing among senior vocational students in Rotterdam, the Netherlands: Effects of a cluster randomized study (Article)

2011-12-19T00:00:00Z

Background: Adolescents are a risk group for acquiring sexually transmitted infections (STIs). In the Netherlands, senior vocational school students are particular at risk. However, STI test rates among adolescents are low and interventions that promote testing are scarce. To enhance voluntary STI testing, an intervention was designed and evaluated in senior vocational schools. The intervention combined classroom health education with sexual health services at the school site. The purpose of this study was to assess the combined and single effects on STI testing of health education and school-based sexual health services. Methods. In a cluster-randomized study the intervention was evaluated in 24 schools, using three experimental conditions: 1) health education, 2) sexual health services; 3) both components; and a control group. STI testing was assessed by self reported behavior and registrations at regional sexual health services. Follow-up measurements were performed at 1, 3, and 6-9 months. Of 1302 students present at baseline, 739 (57%) completed at least 1 follow-up measurement, of these students 472 (64%) were sexually experienced, and considered to be susceptible for the intervention. Multi-level analyses were conducted. To perform analyses according to the principle of intention-to-treat, missing observations at follow-up on the outcome measure were imputed with multiple imputation techniques. Results were compared with the complete cases analysis. Results: Sexually experienced students that received the combined intervention of health education and sexual health services reported more STI testing (29%) than students in the control group (4%) (OR = 4.3, p < 0.05). Test rates in the group that received education or sexual health services only were 5.7% and 19.9%, not reaching statistical significance in multilevel analyses. Female students were more often tested then male students: 21.5% versus 5.4%. The STI-prevalence in the study group was low with 1.4%. Conclusions: Despite a low dose of intervention that was received by the students and a high attrition, we were able to show an intervention effect among sexually experienced students on STI testing. This study confirmed our hypothesis that offering health education to vocational students in combination with sexual health services at school sites is more effective in enhancing STI testing than offering services or education only.

Better drug knowledge with fewer drugs, both in the young and the old (Article)

2011-12-01T00:00:00Z

Little is known about drug knowledge of patients, which is relevant for both the compliance and quality of pharmacotherapy. Drug knowledge was quantified in 160 patients in the outpatient clinics of the departments of Internal and Geriatric Medicine. Medication knowledge was generally poor, especially among older patients. Better knowledge was associated with the use of fewer drugs. Caregivers of dementia patients performed as well as younger patients, indicating that older people can perform well, if well-instructed.

Sharp upturn of life expectancy in the Netherlands: effect of more health care for the elderly? (Article)

2011-11-29T00:00:00Z

During the 1980s and 1990s life expectancy at birth has risen only slowly in the Netherlands. In 2002, however, the rise in life expectancy suddenly accelerated. We studied the possible causes of this remarkable development. Mortality data by age, gender and cause of death were analyzed using life table methods and age-period-cohort modeling. Trends in determinants of mortality (including health care delivery) were compared with trends in mortality. Two-thirds of the increase in life expectancy at birth since 2002 were due to declines in mortality among those aged 65 and over. Declines in mortality reflected a period rather than a cohort effect, and were seen for a wide range of causes of death. Favorable changes in mortality determinants coinciding with the acceleration of mortality decline were mainly seen within the health care system. Health care expenditure rose rapidly after 2001, and was accompanied by a sharp rise of specialist visits, drug prescriptions, hospital admissions and surgical procedures among the elderly. A decline of deaths following non-treatment decisions suggests a change towards more active treatment of elderly patients. Our findings are consistent with the idea that the sharp upturn of life expectancy in the Netherlands was at least partly due to a sharp increase in health care for the elderly, and has been facilitated by a relaxation of budgetary constraints in the health care system.

Trends in wrist fractures in children and adolescents, 19972009 (Article)

2011-11-01T00:00:00Z

Purpose: Distal radius and carpal fractures in children and adolescents represent approximately 25% of all pediatric fractures. Incidence rates and causes of these fractures change over time owing to changes in activities and risk factors. The purpose of this study was to examine recent population-based trends in incidence and causes of wrist fractures in children and adolescents. Methods: We obtained data from the Dutch Injury Surveillance System of emergency department visits of 15 geographically distributed hospitals, and from the National Hospital Discharge Registry. This included a representative sample of outpatients and inpatients, respectively. We calculated incidence rates of wrist fractures per 100,000 person-years for each year between 1997 and 2009. Using Poisson's regression, we analyzed trends for children and adolescents 5 to 9, 10 to 14, and 15 to 19 years of age separately for boys and girls. Results: During the study period, incidence rates increased significantly in boys and girls 5 to 9 and 10 to 14 years of age, with the strongest increase in the age group 10 to 14 years. The observed increases were mainly due to increased incidence rates during soccer and gymnastics at school. Conclusions: This population-based study revealed a substantial sports-related increase in the incidence rate of wrist fractures in boys and girls aged 5 to 9 and 10 to 14 years in the period 1997 to 2009. Clinical relevance: With knowledge of the epidemiology of wrist fractures, prevention programs can be improved. From this study, we know that the incidence rate of wrist fractures in childhood is increasing, mainly as a result of soccer and gymnastics at school. Future sport injury research and surveillance data are necessary to develop new prevention programs based on identifying and addressing specific risk factors, especially in young athletes.

Contribution of chronic disease to the burden of disability (Article)

2011-09-22T00:00:00Z

Background: Population ageing is expected to lead to strong increases in the number of persons with one or more disabilities, which may result in substantial declines in the quality of life. To reduce the burden of disability and to prevent concomitant declines in the quality of life, one of the first steps is to establish which diseases contribute most to the burden. Therefore, this paper aims to determine the contribution of specific diseases to the prevalence of disability and to years lived with disability, and to assess whether large contributions are due to a high disease prevalence or a high disabling impact. Methodology/Principal Findings: Data from the Dutch POLS-survey (Permanent Onderzoek Leefsituatie, 2001-2007) were analyzed. Using additive regression and accounting for co-morbidity, the disabling impact of selected chronic diseases was calculated, and the prevalence and years lived with ADL and mobility disabilities were partitioned into contributions of specific disease. Musculoskeletal and cardiovascular disease contributed most to the burden of disability, but chronic non-specific lung disease (males) and diabetes (females) also contributed much. Within the musculoskeletal and cardiovascular disease groups, back pain, peripheral vascular disease and stroke contributed particularly by their high disabling impact. Arthritis and heart disease were less disabling but contributed substantially because of their high prevalence. The disabling impact of diseases was particularly high among persons older than 80. Conclusions/Significance: To reduce the burden of disability, the extent diseases such as back pain, peripheral vascular disease and stroke lead to disability should be reduced, particularly among the oldest old. But also moderately disabling diseases with a high prevalence, such as arthritis and heart disease, should be targeted.

A maternal dietary pattern characterised by fish and seafood in association with the risk of congenital heart defects in the offspring (Article)

2011-09-01T00:00:00Z

Objective To identify maternal dietary patterns related to biomarkers of methylation and to investigate associations between these dietary patterns and the risk of congenital heart defects (CHDs) in the offspring. Design Case-control study. Setting Western part of the Netherlands, 2003-08. Population One hundred and seventy-nine mothers of children with CHD and 231 mothers of children without a congenital malformation. Methods Food intake was obtained by food frequency questionnaires. The reduced rank regression method was used to identify dietary patterns related to the biomarker concentrations of methylation in blood. Main outcome measures Dietary patterns, vitamin B and homocysteine concentrations, biomarkers of methylation (S-adenosylmethionine [SAM] and S-adenosylhomocysteine [SAH]) and the risk of CHD estimated by odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Results The one-carbon-poor dietary pattern, comprising a high intake of snacks, sugar-rich products and beverages, was associated with SAH (β = 0.92, P < 0.001). The one-carbon-rich dietary pattern with high fish and seafood intake was associated with SAM (β = 0.44, P < 0.001) and inversely with SAH (β = -0.08, P < 0.001). Strong adherence to this dietary pattern resulted in higher serum (P < 0.05) and red blood cell (P < 0.01) folate and a reduced risk of CHD in offspring: odds ratio, 0.3 (95% confidence interval, 0.2-0.6). Conclusions The one-carbon-rich dietary pattern, characterised by the high intake of fish and seafood, is associated with a reduced risk of CHD. This finding warrants further investigation in a randomised intervention trial. © 2011 The Authors BJOG An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology

Evaluation of salivary melatonin measurements for Dim Light Melatonin Onset calculations in patients with possible sleep-wake rhythm disorders (Article)

2011-08-17T00:00:00Z

Background: Dim Light Melatonin Onset (DLMO) can be calculated within a 5-point partial melatonin curve in saliva collected at home. We retrospectively analyzed the patient melatonin measurements sample size of the year 2008 to evaluate these DLMO calculations and studied the correlation between diary or polysomnography (PSG) sleep onset and DLMO. Methods: Patients completed an online questionnaire. If this questionnaire pointed to a possible Delayed Sleep Phase Disorder (DSPD), saliva collection devices were sent to the patient. Collection occurred at 5 consecutive hours. Melatonin concentration was measured with a radioimmunoassay and DLMO was defined as the time at which the melatonin concentration in saliva reaches 4. pg/mL. Sleep onset time was retrieved from an online one-week sleep diary and/or one-night PSG. Results: A total of 1848 diagnostic 5-point curves were obtained. DLMO could be determined in 76.2% (n = 1408). DLMO significantly differed between different age groups and increased with age. Pearson correlations (r) between DLMO and sleep onset measured with PSG or with a diary were 0.514 (p = < 0.001, n = 54) and 0.653 (p = 0.002, n = 20) respectively. Conclusion: DLMO can be reliably measured in saliva that is conveniently collected at home. DLMO correlates moderately with sleep onset.

Displaying random variation in comparing hospital performance (Article)

2011-08-01T00:00:00Z

Introduction: The role of transparency in quality of care is becoming ever more important. Various indicators are used to assess hospital performance. Judging hospitals using rank order takes no account of disturbing factors such as random variation and casemix differences. The purpose of this article is to compare displays for the influence of random variation on the apparent differences in the quality of care between the Dutch hospitals. Method: The authors analysed the official 2005 data of all 97 hospitals on the following performance indicators: pressure ulcer, cerebro-vascular accident and acute myocardial infarction. The authors calculated CIs of the point estimate and the simulated CIs of the ranks with bootstrap sampling, and visualised the influence of random variation with three modern graphical techniques: forest plot, funnel plot and rank plot. Results: Statistically significant differences between hospitals were found for nearly all performance indicators (p<0.001). However, the CIs in the forest plot revealed that only a small number of hospitals performed significantly better or worse. The funnel plot provides a representation of differences between hospitals compared with a target value and allows for the uncertainty of these differences. The rank plot showed that ranking hospitals was very uncertain. Conclusion: Despite statistically significant differences between hospitals, random variation is a crucial factor that must be taken into account when judging individual hospitals. The funnel plot provides easily interpretable information on hospital performance, including the influence of random variation.

Predictors for neoplastic progression in patients with Barrett's esophagus: A prospective cohort study (Article)

2011-07-01T00:00:00Z

Objectives: Patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) have an increased risk of developing esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). As the absolute risk remains low, there is a need for predictors of neoplastic progression to tailor more individualized surveillance programs. The aim of this study was to identify such predictors of progression to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and EAC in patients with BE after 4 years of surveillance and to develop a prediction model based on these factors. Methods: We included 713 patients with BE (2 cm) with no dysplasia (ND) or low-grade dysplasia (LGD) in a multicenter, prospective cohort study. Data on age, gender, body mass index (BMI), reflux symptoms, tobacco and alcohol use, medication use, upper gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy findings, and histology were prospectively collected. As part of this study, patients with ND underwent surveillance every 2 years, whereas those with LGD were followed on a yearly basis. Log linear regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors associated with the development of HGD or EAC during surveillance. Results: After 4 years of follow-up, 26/713 (3.4%) patients developed HGD or EAC, with the remaining 687 patients remaining stable with ND or LGD. Multivariable analysis showed that a known duration of BE of 10 years (risk ratio (RR) 3.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-7.8), length of BE (RR 1.11 per cm increase in length; 95% CI 1.01-1.2), esophagitis (RR 3.5; 95% CI 1.3-9.5), and LGD (RR 9.7; 95% CI 4.4-21.5) were significant predictors of progression to HGD or EAC. In a prediction model, we found that the annual risk of developing HGD or EAC in BE varied between 0.3% and up to 40%. Patients with ND and no other risk factors had the lowest risk of developing HGD or EAC (1%), whereas those with LGD and at least one other risk factor had the highest risk of neoplastic progression (18-40%). Conclusions: In patients with BE, the risk of developing HGD or EAC is predominantly determined by the presence of LGD, a known duration of BE of 10 years, longer length of BE, and presence of esophagitis. One or combinations of these risk factors are able to identify patients with a low or high risk of neoplastic progression and could therefore be used to individualize surveillance intervals in BE.

Individualised surveillance strategies for colorectal cancer in inflammatory bowel disease (Letter To Editor)

2011-05-01T00:00:00Z

Risk factors associated with encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis in Dutch EPS study (Article)

2011-05-01T00:00:00Z

Objective: Encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS) is a serious complication of peritoneal dialysis (PD) with a multifactorial pathophysiology and possible increasing incidence. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the independent associations of PD duration, age, dialysis fluids, and kidney transplantation with EPS. Methods: A multicenter case-control study was performed in the Netherlands from 1 January 1996 until 1 July 2007. The population comprised 63 patients with EPS and 126 control patients. Control patients were selected from the national registry and were matched for date of PD start. Associations were analyzed using a log linear regression model. Primary outcome was appearance of EPS. Results: Compared with control patients, patients with EPS were younger at the start of PD (34.7 ±15.4 years vs. 51.5± 14.7 years, p < 0.0001). The cumulative period on PD was longer in EPS patients than in control patients (78.7 ± 37.8 months vs. 32.8 ±24 months, p < 0.0001), and the cumulative period on icodextrin was also longer in EPS patients (32.7 ±23.3 months vs. 18.1 ±15.7 months, p = 0.006). Compared with control patients, more EPS patients underwent kidney transplantation (47 vs. 59, p< 0.0001). With regard to the period after transplantation, the yearly probability of EPS increased in the year after transplantation to 7.5% from 1.75%. In multivariate regression analysis, cumulative PD duration, age at PD start, transplantation, time from last transplantation to EPS, calendar time, time on icodextrin, and ultrafiltration failure were independently associated with EPS. Transfer from PD to hemodialysis for reasons other than suspected EPS could not be identified as a risk factor for EPS. Conclusions: Duration of PD, age at PD start, kidney transplantation, time since last transplantation, ultrafiltration failure, and time on icodextrin were associated with a higher risk of EPS.

Sociocultural and psychological determinants in migrants for noncompliance with occlusion therapy for amblyopia (Article)

2011-03-14T00:00:00Z

Background: Compliance with occlusion therapy for amblyopia in children is low when their parents have a low level of education, speak Dutch poorly, or originate from another country. We determined how sociocultural and psychological determinants affect compliance. Methods: Included were amblyopic children between the ages of 3 and 6, living in low socio-economic status (SES) areas. Compliance with occlusion therapy was measured electronically. Their parents completed an oral questionnaire, based on the "Social Position & Use of Social Services by Migrants and Natives" questionnaire that included demographics and questions on issues like education, employment, religion and social contacts. Parental fluency in Dutch was rated on a five-point scale. Regression analysis was used to describe the relationship between the level of compliance and sociocultural and psychological determinants. Results: Data from 45 children and their parents were analyzed. Mean electronically measured compliance was 56 ± 44 percent. Children whose parents had close contact with their neighbors or who were highly dependent on their family demonstrated low levels of compliance. Children of parents who were members of a club and who had positive conceptualizations of Dutch society showed high levels of compliance. Poor compliance was also associated with low income, depression, and when patching interfered with the child's outdoor activity. Religion was not associated with compliance. Conclusions: Poor compliance with occlusion therapy seems correlated with indicators of social cohesion. High social cohesion at micro level, i.e., family, neighbors and friends, and low social cohesion on macro level, i.e., Dutch society, are associated with noncompliance. However, such parents tend to speak Dutch poorly, so it is difficult to determine its actual cause.

High cancer risk and increased mortality in patients with Peutz - Jeghers syndrome (Article)

2011-02-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Peutz-Jeghers syndrome (PJS) is associated with an increased cancer risk. As the determination of optimal surveillance strategies is hampered by wide ranges in cancer risk estimates and lack of data on cancer-related mortality, we assessed cancer risks and mortality in a large cohort of patients with PJS. Methods: Dutch PJS patients were included in this cohort study. Patients were followed prospectively between January 1995 and July 2009, and clinical data from the period before 1995 were collected retrospectively. Data were obtained by interview and chart review. Cumulative cancer risks were calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis and relative cancer and mortality risks by Poisson regression analysis. Results: We included 133 PJS patients (48% males) from 54 families, contributing 5004 person-years of follow-up. 49 cancers were diagnosed in 42 patients (32%), including 25 gastrointestinal (GI) cancers. The median age at first cancer diagnosis was 45 years. The cumulative cancer risk was 20% at age 40 (GI cancer 12%), increasing to 76% at age 70 (GI cancer 51%). Cumulative cancer risks were higher for females than for males (p=0.005). The relative cancer risk was higher in PJS patients than in the general population (HR 8.96; 95% CI 6.46 to 12.42), and higher among female (HR 20.40; 95% CI 13.43 to 30.99) than among male patients (HR 4.76; 95% CI 2.82 to 8.04). 42 patients had died at a median age of 45 years, including 28 cancer-related deaths (67%). Mortality was increased in our cohort compared to the general population (HR 3.50; 95% CI 2.57 to 4.75). Conclusions: PJS patients carry high cancer risks, leading to increased mortality. The malignancies occur particularly in the GI tract and develop at young age. These results justify surveillance in order to detect malignancies in an early phase to improve outcome.

Individual accumulation of heterogeneous risks explains perinatal inequalities within deprived neighbourhoods (Article)

2011-02-01T00:00:00Z

Dutch' figures on perinatal mortality and morbidity are poor compared to EU-standards. Considerable within-country differences have been reported too, with decreased perinatal health in deprived urban areas. We investigated associations between perinatal risk factors and adverse perinatal outcomes in 7,359 pregnant women participating in population-based prospective cohort study, to establish the independent role, if any, for living within a deprived urban neighbourhood. Main outcome measures included perinatal death, intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), prematurity, congenital malformations, Apgar at 5 min < 7, and pre-eclampsia. Information regarding individual risk factors was obtained from questionnaires, physical examinations, ultrasounds, biological samples, and medical records. The dichotomous Dutch deprivation indicator was additionally used to test for unexplained deprived urban area effects. Pregnancies from a deprived neighbourhood had an increased risk for perinatal death (RR 1.8, 95% CI [1.1; 3.1]). IUGR, prematurity, Apgar at 5 min < 7, and pre-eclampsia also showed higher prevalences (P < 0.05). Residing within a deprived neighbourhood was associated with increased prevalence of all measured risk factors. Regression analysis showed that the observed neighbourhood related differences in perinatal outcomes could be attributed to the increased risk factor prevalence only, without a separated role for living within a deprived neighbourhood. Women from a deprived neighbourhood had significantly more 'possibly avoidable' risk factors. To conclude, women from a socioeconomically deprived neighbourhood are at an increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes. Differences regarding possibly avoidable risk factors imply that preventive strategies may prove effective.

Vertical position of the orbits in nonsyndromic plagiocephaly in childhood and its relation to vertical strabismus (Article)

2011-01-01T00:00:00Z

Purpose: To determine the existence of a correlation between the vertical angle of strabismus and the vertical angle between the orbital axes in nonsyndromic plagiocephaly in childhood. Methods: Patients were included when diagnosed with plagiocephaly. Orthoptic measurements showed a vertical strabismus and three-dimensional computed tomographic (CT) imaging of the skull was available. Patients were excluded if plagiocephaly was part of a syndrome or if any surgical intervention had taken place before our measurements. Three-dimensional CT imaging was used to calculate the vertical angle between the orbital axes in 3 reference planes (VAO) perpendicular to a line of reference through the lower borders of the maxilla (VAOmax), both auditory canals (VAOaud), and the lower points of the external occipital protuberances (VAOocc). Results: Fourteen patients were included (mean age, 14 mo). Three-dimensional CT measurements showed a mean (SD) VAOmax of 1.70 (2.31) degrees, VAOaud of -1.54 (1.46) degrees, and VAOocc of -2.06 (4.29) degrees (a negative value indicates that the eye on the affected side was situated lower in the head). The mean vertical angle of strabismus was -2.39 (4.69) degrees in gaze toward the affected side, 3.66 (3.77) degrees in gaze ahead, and 8.14 (5.63) degrees in gaze toward the nonaffected side. The Pearson test showed no significant correlations. Conclusions: The clinical observation that vertical strabismus in adult plagiocephaly is correlated with the vertical angle of the orbital axes could not be confirmed in young children. Copyright

Adverse drug reactions related hospital admissions in persons aged 60 years and over, the Netherlands, 1981- 2007: Less rapid increase, different drugs (Article)

2010-12-09T00:00:00Z

Background: Epidemiologic information on time trends of Adverse Drug Reactions (ADR) and ADR-related hospitalizations is scarce. Over time, pharmacotherapy has become increasingly complex. Because of raised awareness of ADR, a decrease in ADR might be expected. The aim of this study was to determine trends in ADR-related hospitalizations in the older Dutch population. Methodology and Principal Findings: Secular trend analysis of ADR-related hospital admissions in patients ≥60 years between 1981 and 2007, using the National Hospital Discharge Registry of the Netherlands. Numbers, age-specific and age-adjusted incidence rates (per 10,000 persons) of ADR-related hospital admissions were used as outcome measures in each year of the study. Between 1981 and 2007, ADR-related hospital admissions in persons ≥60 years increased by 143%. The overall standardized incidence rate increased from 23.3 to 38.3 per 10,000 older persons. The increase was larger in males than in females. Since 1997, the increase in incidence rates of ADR-related hospitalizations flattened (percentage annual change 0.65%), compared to the period 1981-1996 (percentage annual change 2.56%). Conclusion/Significance: ADR-related hospital admissions in older persons have shown a rapidly increasing trend in the Netherlands over the last three decades with a temporization since 1997. Although an encouraging flattening in the increasing trend of ADR-related admissions was found around 1997, the incidence is still rising, which warrants sustained attention to this problem.

Gender differences in health of EU10 and EU15 populations: the double burden of EU10 men (Article)

2010-12-01T00:00:00Z

This study compares gender differences in Healthy Life Years (HLY) and unhealthy life years (ULY) between the original (EU15) and new member states (EU10). Based on the number of deaths, population and prevalence of activity limitations from the Statistics of Living and Income Conditions Survey (SILC) survey, we calculated HLY and ULY for the EU10 and EU15 in 2006 with the Sullivan method. We used decomposition analysis to assess the contributions of mortality and disability and age to gender differences in HLY and ULY. HLY at age 15 for women in the EU10 were 3.1 years more than those for men at the same age, whereas HLY did not differ by gender in the EU15. In both populations ULY at age 15 for women exceeded those for men by 5.5 years. Decomposition showed that EU10 women had more HLY because higher disability in women only partially offset (-0.8 years) the effect of lower mortality (+3.9 years). In the EU15 women's higher disability prevalence almost completely offset women's lower mortality. The 5.3 fewer ULY in EU10 men than in EU10 women mainly reflected higher male mortality (4.5 years), while the fewer ULY in EU15 men than in EU15 women reflected both higher male mortality (2.9 years) and higher female disability (2.6 years). The absence of a clear gender gap in HLY in the EU15 thus masked important gender differences in mortality and disability. The similar size of the gender gap in ULY in the EU-10 and EU-15 masked the more unfavourable health situation of EU10 men, in particular the much stronger and younger mortality disadvantage in combination with the virtually absent disability advantage below age 65 in men.

Utility analysis of disability caused by amblyopia and/or strabismus in a population-based, historic cohort (Article)

2010-12-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Amblyopia (prevalence 3.4%) is in principle treatable, but approximately one quarter of children do not reach reading acuity in the amblyopic eye. Adults with persistent amblyopia and/or strabismus experience a decrease in quality of life. This was now quantified by patient-perceived utility values. Methods: Subjects were born 1962-1972 and had been treated by occlusion therapy for amblyopia by one orthoptist 30-35 years ago. All children in Waterland with amblyopia and/or strabismus had been referred to this orthoptist. Utilities were derived by methods of time trade-off, TTO (lifetime traded against perfect vision) and standard gamble, SG (death risk accepted for perfect vision). Most troubling eye disorder (low acuity of the amblyopic eye, lacking stereopsis or strabismus) was chosen and ranked among nine chronic disorders according to the subject's perceived severity. Results: From 201 patients that could be contacted 35 years after occlusion therapy - out of 471 who had been occluded - 135 were included: 17 could not be reached, 34 refused, and 15 had other reasons to not participate. Mean age was 40.86 years; 53% were male. Seventy percent were willing to trade lifetime according to the TTO method; its mean (log) utility was 0.963, i.e., a decrease in quality of life of 3.7%. Thirty-seven percent accepted death risk according to the SG method; its mean utility was 0.9996. TTO outcomes correlated with current near and distance visual acuity. Low acuity of the amblyopic eye, chosen as most troubling eye disorder, ranked slightly less severe than tooth decay. Conclusion: Amblyopia and/or strabismus patients had a slightly decreased utility. The decrease is small but still important in the cost-effectiveness of vision screening because these conditions occur very frequently.

Increased risk of adenomas in individuals with a family history of colorectal cancer: results of a meta-analysis (Article)

2010-12-01T00:00:00Z

Objective: It is unclear to what extent the increased risk of colorectal cancer in individuals with a family history of colorectal cancer and no known genetic disorders is associated with a higher adenoma prevalence. Our aim is to estimate the relative difference in adenoma prevalence and its age-pattern in individuals with a family history of colorectal cancer compared to those without. Methods: We performed a literature search to identify colonoscopy studies reporting the adenoma prevalence by age. Using multilevel logistic regression, we examined how the adenoma prevalence by age differed between individuals with and without a family history of colorectal cancer. We excluded members of families with a known genetic disorder. Results: Thirteen colonoscopy studies were identified. The adenoma prevalence was significantly higher in individuals with a family history than in those without (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.4-3.5). The adenoma prevalence increased with age (OR per year of age 1.06, 95% CI 1.05-1.07). The age trend did not differ significantly between the two groups. Conclusion: Individuals with a family history of colorectal cancer have a considerably higher prevalence of adenomas compared to individuals without a family history. This is consistent with their increased risk of colorectal cancer.

The Risk of Inflammatory Bowel Disease-Related Colorectal Carcinoma Is Limited: Results From a Nationwide Nested Case-Control Study (Article)

2010-11-02T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVES:The risk for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD)-related colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a matter of debate. Initial reports mainly originate from tertiary referral centers, and conflict with more recent studies. Overall, epidemiology of IBD-related CRC is relevant to strengthen the basis of surveillance guidelines. We performed a nationwide nested case-control study to assess the risk for IBD-related CRC and associated prognostic factors in general hospitals.METHODS:IBD patients diagnosed with CRC between January 1990 and July 2006 in 78 Dutch general hospitals were identified as cases, using a nationwide automated pathology database. Control IBD patients without CRC were randomly selected. Clinical data were collected from detailed chart review. Poisson regression analysis was used for univariable and multivariable analyses.RESULTS:A total of 173 cases were identified through pathology and chart review and compared with 393 controls. The incidence rate of IBD-related CRC was 0.04%. Risk factors for IBD-related CRC were older age, concomitant primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC, relative ratio (RR) per year duration 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.10), pseudopolyps (RR 1.92; 95% CI 1.28-2.88), and duration of IBD (RR per year 1.04; 95% CI 1.02-1.05). Using immunosuppressive therapy (odds ratio (OR) 0.3; 95% CI 0.16-0.56, P<0.001) or anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) (OR 0.09; 95% CI 0.01-0.68, P<0.02) was protective.CONCLUSIONS:We found a limited risk for developing IBD-related CRC in The Netherlands. Age, duration of PSC and IBD, concomitant pseudopolyps, and use immunosuppressives or anti-TNF were strong prognostic factors in general hospitals.Am J Gastroenterol advance online publication, 2 November 2010; doi:10.1038/ajg.2010.428.

Health seeking behaviour and utilization of health facilities for schistosomiasis-related symptoms in ghana (Article)

2010-11-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Schistosomiasis causes long-term illness and significant economic burden. Morbidity control through integration within existing health care delivery systems is considered a potentially sustainable and cost-effective approach, but there is paucity of information about health-seeking behaviour. Methods: A questionnaire-based study involving 2,002 subjects was conducted in three regions of Ghana to investigate health-seeking behaviour and utilization of health facilities for symptoms related to urinary (blood in urine and painful urination) and intestinal schistosomiasis (diarrhea, blood in stool, swollen abdomen and abdominal pain). Fever (for malaria) was included for comparison. Results: Only 40% of patients with urinary symptoms sought care compared to.70% with intestinal symptoms and.90% with fever. Overall, about 20% of schistosomiasis-related symptoms were reported to a health facility (hospital or clinic), compared to about 30% for fever. Allopathic self-medication was commonly practiced as alternative action. Health-care seeking was relatively lower for patients with chronic symptoms, but if they took action, they were more likely to visit a health facility. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, perceived severity was the main predictor for seeking health care or visiting a health facility. Age, socio-economic status, somebody else paying for health care, and time for hospital visit occasionally showed a significant impact, but no clear trend. The effect of geographic location was less marked, although people in the central region, and to a lesser extent the north, were usually less inclined to seek health care than people in the south. Perceived quality of health facility did not demonstrate impact. Conclusion: Perceived severity of the disease is the most important determinant of seeking health care or visiting a health facility in Ghana. Schistosomiasis control by passive case-finding within the regular health care delivery looks promising, but the number not visiting a health facility is large and calls for supplementary control options.

Long-Term Esophageal Cancer Risk in Patients With Primary Achalasia: A Prospective Study (Article)

2010-10-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVES:Achalasia patients are considered at increased risk for esophageal cancer, but the reported relative risks vary. Identification of this risk is relevant for patient management. We performed a prospective evaluation of the esophageal cancer risk in a large cohort of achalasia patients with long-term follow-up.METHODS:Between 1975 and 2006, all patients diagnosed with primary achalasia in our hospital were treated and followed by the same protocol. After graded pneumatic dilatation, all patients were offered a fixed surveillance protocol including gastrointestinal endoscopy with esophageal biopsy sampling.RESULTS:We surveyed a cohort of 448 achalasia patients (218 men, mean age 51 years at diagnosis, range 4-92 years) for a mean follow-up of 9.6 years (range 0.1-32). Overall, 15 (3.3%) patients (10 men) developed esophageal cancer (annual incidence 0.34 (95% confidence interval 0.20-0.56)). The mean age at cancer diagnosis was 71 years (range 36-90) after a mean of 11 years (range 2-23) following initial presentation, and a mean of 24 years (range 10-43) after symptom onset. The relative hazard rate of esophageal cancer was 28 (confidence interval 17-46) compared with an age- and sex-identical population in the same timeframe. Five patients received a potential curative treatment.CONCLUSIONS:Although the gastro-esophageal cancer risk in patients with longstanding achalasia is much higher than in the general population, the absolute risk is rather low. Despite structured endoscopical surveillance, most neoplastic lesions remain undetected until an advanced stage. Efforts should be made to identify high-risk groups and develop adequate surveillance strategies.Am J Gastroenterol advance online publication, 29 June 2010; doi:10.1038/ajg.2010.263.

The impact of an education program on hand hygiene compliance and nosocomial infection incidence in an urban Neonatal Intensive Care Unit: An intervention study with before and after comparison (Article)

2010-10-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Nosocomial bloodstream infections are a major cause of morbidity and mortality in neonatal intensive care units. Appropriate hand hygiene is singled out as the most important measure in preventing these infections. However, hand hygiene compliance among healthcare professionals remains low despite the well-known effect on infection reduction. Objectives: We studied the effectiveness of a hand hygiene education program on the incidence of nosocomial bloodstream infections. Design: Observational study with two pretests and two posttest measurements and interrupted time series analysis. Setting: A 27 bed level IIID neonatal intensive care unit in a teaching hospital in the Netherlands. Participants: Healthcare professionals who had physical contact with very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. Methods: The study was conducted during a period of 4 years. Medical and nursing staff followed a problem-based education program on hand hygiene. Hand hygiene practices before and after the education program were compared by guided observations. The incidence of nosocomial infections in VLBW infants was compared. In addition, numbers of nosocomial bloodstream infections per day-at-risk in very low birth weight infants were analyzed by a segmented loglinear regression analysis. Results: During 1201 observations hand hygiene compliance before patient contact increased from 65% to 88% (p< 0.001). Median (interquartile range) drying time increased from 4. s (4-10) to 10. s (7-14) (p< 0.001).The proportion of very low birth weight infants with one or more bloodstream infections and the infection rate per 1000 patient days (relative risk reduction) before and after the education program on hand hygiene intervention decreased from 44.5% to 36.1% (18.9%, p= 0.03) and from 17.3% to 13.5% (22.0%, p= 0.03), respectively.At the baseline the nosocomial bloodstream infections per day-at-risk decreased by +0.07% (95% CI -1.41 to +1.60) per month and decreased with -1.25% (95% CI -4.67 to +2.44) after the intervention (p= 0.51). The level of instant change was -14.8% (p= 0.48). Conclusions: The results are consistent with relevant improvement of hand hygiene practices among healthcare professionals due to an education program. Improved hand hygiene resulted in a reduction in nosocomial bloodstream infections.

Ethnic differences in participation in prenatal screening for Down syndrome: A register-based study (Article)

2010-10-01T00:00:00Z

Objective: To assess ethnic differences in participation in prenatal screening for Down syndrome in the Netherlands. Methods: Participation in prenatal screening was assessed for the period 1 January 2009 to 1 July 2009 in a defined postal code area in the southwest of the Netherlands. Data on ethnic origin, socio-economic background and age of participants in prenatal screening were obtained from the Medical Diagnostic Centre and the Department of Clinical Genetics. Population data were obtained from Statistics Netherlands. Logistic regression models were used to assess ethnic differences in participation, adjusted for socio-economic and age differences. Results: The overall participation in prenatal screening was 3865 out of 15 093 (26%). Participation was 28% among Dutch women, 15% among those from Turkish ethnic origin, 8% among those from North-African origin, 15% among those from Aruban/Antillean origin and 26% among women from Surinamese origin. Conclusions: Compared to Dutch women, those from Turkish, North-African, Aruban/Antillean and other non-Western ethnic origin were less likely to participate in screening. It was unexpected that women from Surinamese origin equally participated. It should be further investigated to what extent participation and non-participation in these various ethnic groups was based on informed decision-making.

Probiotic yogurt consumption is associated with an increase of CD4 count among people living with HIV/AIDS (Article)

2010-10-01T00:00:00Z

Aim: To evaluate the long term effect of yogurt supplemented with Lactobacillus rhamnosus Fiti on the immune function (CD4 count) of people living with HIV/AIDS. Background: Gastrointestinal infections and the leakage of microbial products from the gut have a profound impact on the deterioration of the immune system among people living with HIV/AIDS. Among persons not infected with the virus, probiotics can prevent gastrointestinal infections and restore an effective gut barrier, suggesting they might have a beneficial effect on the immune function of people living with HIV/AIDS. Study: We carried out an observational retrospective study over a period of 3 years, with longitudinal comparison of the CD4 count within participants (n=68) before and during probiotic yogurt consumption, and compared with a control group of participants not consuming the yogurt (n=82). Results: Among the yogurt consumers before use and the nonconsumers, an average increase in CD4 count was seen of 0.13 cells/μL/day (95% CI; 0.07-0.20, P=<0.001). After commencing consumption, yogurt consumers experienced an additional increase of 0.28 cells/μL/day (95% CI; 0.10-0.46, P=0.003). When adjusting for length of time using antiretroviral medication, the additional increase explained by yogurt consumption remained 0.17 cells/μL/day (95% CI; 0.01-0.34, P=0.04). Treatment with antiretroviral medication was associated with an increase of 0.27 cells/μL/day (95% CI; 0.17-0.38, P=<0.001). CONCLUSION: The introduction of probiotic yogurt, made by local women in a low-income community in Tanzania, was significantly associated with an increase in CD4 count among consumers living with HIV.

Model-assisted predictions on prognosis in HNSCC: Do we learn? (Article)

2010-09-01T00:00:00Z

Dedicated software packages incorporating prognostic models are meant to aid physicians in making accurate predictions of prognosis. This study concerns 742 predictions of 5-year survival on consecutive newly diagnosed patients with head- and neck squamous cell carcinoma. The 5-year survival predictions made by the physicians are not compared with actual survival, but with a prediction made by OncologIQ, a dedicated software package. We used a linear regression and a linear mixed-effects model to look at absolute differences between both predictions and possible learning effects. Predictions made by the physicians were optimistic and inaccurate. Using the linear regression and linear mixed-effects models, the physicians' learning effect showed little improvement per successive prediction. We conclude that prognostic predictions in general are imprecise. When given feedback on the model's predicted survival, the accuracy increases, but only very modestly.

Quality of life and psychological distress in patients with Peutz-Jeghers syndrome (Article)

2010-09-01T00:00:00Z

Little is known about psychological distress and quality of life (QoL) in patients with Peutz-Jeghers syndrome (PJS), a rare hereditary disorder. We aimed to assess QoL and psychological distress in PJS patients compared to the general population, and to evaluate determinants of QoL and psychological distress in a cross-sectional study. PJS patients completed a questionnaire on QoL, psychological distress, and illness perceptions. The questionnaire was returned by 52 patients (85% response rate, 56% females, median age 44.5 years). PJS patients reported similar anxiety (p = 0.57) and depression (p = 0.61) scores as the general population. They reported a lower general health perception (p = 0.003), more limitations due to emotional problems (p = 0.045) and a lower mental well-being (p = 0.036). Strong beliefs in negative consequences of PJS on daily life, a relapsing course of the disease, strong emotional reactions to PJS, and female gender were major determinants for a lower QoL. PJS patients experience a similar level of psychological distress as the general population, but a poorer general health perception, more limitations due to emotional problems, and a poorer mental QoL. Illness perceptions and female gender were major predictors for this lower QoL. These results may help to recognize PJS patients who might benefit from psychological support.

Risk of malignant progression in patients with Barrett's oesophagus: A Dutch nationwide cohort study (Article)

2010-08-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Reported incidence rates of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) in Barrett's oesophagus (BO) vary widely. As the effectiveness of BO surveillance is crucially dependent on this rate, its clarification is essential. Methods: To estimate the rate of malignant progression in patients with BO, all patients with a first diagnosis of BO with no dysplasia (ND) or low-grade dysplasia (LGD) between 1991 and 2006 were identified in the Dutch nationwide registry of histopathology (PALGA). Follow-up data were evaluated up to November 2007. Results: 42 207 patients with BO were included; 4132 (8%) of them had LGD. Re-evaluation endoscopies at least 6 months after initial diagnosis were performed in 16 365 patients (39%), who were significantly younger than those not re-examined (58±13 vs 63±16 years, p<0.001). These patients were followed-up for a total of 78 131 person-years, during which 666 (4%) high-grade dysplasia (HGD)/OACs occurred, affecting 4% of the surveillance patient population (mean age: 69±12 years, 76% male). After excluding HGD/OAC cases detected within 1 year after BO diagnosis (n=212, 32%), incidence rates per 1000 person-years were 4.3 (95% CI 3.4 to 5.5) for OAC and 5.8 (95% CI 4.6 to 7.0) for HGD/ OAC combined. Risk factors for HGD/OAC were increased age (eg, >75 years HR 12; 95% CI 8.0 to 18), male sex (2.01; 1.68 to 2.60) and presence of LGD at baseline (1.91; 1.53 to 2.40). Conclusion: In this largest reported cohort of unselected patients with BO, the annual risk of OAC was 0.4%. Male sex, older age and LGD at diagnosis are independent predictors of malignant progression, and should enable an improved risk assessment in BO

Screening for colorectal cancer: Comparison of perceived test burden of guaiac-based faecal occult blood test, faecal immunochemical test and flexible sigmoidoscopy (Article)

2010-07-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Perceived burden of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is an important determinant of participation in subsequent screening rounds and therefore crucial for the effectiveness of a screening programme. This study determined differences in perceived burden and willingness to return for a second screening round among participants of a randomised population-based trial comparing a guaiac-based faecal occult blood test (gFOBT), a faecal immunochemical test (FIT) and flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS) screening. Methods: A representative sample of the Dutch population (aged 50-74 years) was randomised to be invited for gFOBT, FIT and FS screening. A random sample of participants of each group was asked to complete a questionnaire about test burden and willingness to return for CRC screening. Results: In total 402/481 (84%) gFOBT, 530/659 (80%) FIT and 852/1124 (76%) FS screenees returned the questionnaire. The test was reported as burdensome by 2.5% of gFOBT, 1.4% of FIT and 12.9% of FS screenees (comparing gFOBT versus FIT p = 0.05; versus FS p < 0.001). In total 94.1% of gFOBT, 94.0% of FIT and 83.8% of FS screenees were willing to attend successive screening rounds (comparing gFOBT versus FIT p = 0.84; versus FS p < 0.001). Women reported more burden during FS screening than men (18.2% versus 7.7%; p < 0.001). Conclusions: FIT slightly outperforms gFOBT with a lower level of reported discomfort and overall burden. Both FOBTs are better accepted than FS screening. All three tests have a high level of acceptance, which may affect uptake of subsequent screening rounds and should be taken into consideration before implementing a CRC screening programme.

Trends in fall-related hospital admissions in older persons in the Netherlands (Annotation)

2010-05-24T00:00:00Z

Background: Fall-related injuries, hospitalizations, and mortality among older persons represent a major public health problem. Owing to aging societies worldwide, a major impact on fall-related health care demand can be expected. We determined time trends in numbers and incidence of fall-related hospital admissions and in admission duration in older adults. Methods: Secular trend analysis of fall-related hospital admissions in the older Dutch population from 1981 through 2008, using the National Hospital Discharge Registry. All fall-related hospital admissions in persons 65 years or older were extracted from this database. Outcome measures were the numbers, and the age-specific and age-adjusted incidence rates (per 10 000 persons) of fall-related hospital admissions in each year of the study. Results: From 1981 through 2008, fall-related hospital admissions increased by 137%. The annual age-adjusted incidence growth was 1.3% for men vs 0.7% for women (P<.001). The overall incidence rate increased from 87.7 to 141.2 per 10 000 persons (an increase of 61%). Age-specific incidence increased in all age groups, in both men and women, especially in the oldest old (>75 years). Although the incidence of fall-related hospital admissions increased, the total number of fall-related hospital days was reduced by 20% owing to a reduction in admission duration. Conclusions: In the Netherlands, numbers of fall-related hospital admissions among older persons increased drastically from 1981 through 2008. The increasing fall-related health care demand has been compensated for by a reduced admission duration. These figures demonstrate the need for implementation of falls prevention programs to control for increases of fall-related health care consumption.

Is the Tinetti Performance Oriented Mobility Assessment (POMA) a feasible and valid predictor of short-term fall risk in nursing home residents with dementia? (Article)

2010-03-01T00:00:00Z

Background: The feasibility and predictive validity of balance and gait measures in more severe stages of dementia have been understudied. We evaluated the clinimetric properties of the Tinetti Performance Oriented Mobility Assessment (POMA) in nursing home residents with dementia with a specific objective of predicting falls in the short term. Methods: Seventy-five ambulatory nursing home residents with dementia, mean age 81 8 years, participated in a prospective cohort study. All participants underwent the full POMA-test. Fall statistics were retrieved from incident reports during a three-months follow-up period. The predictive validity was expressed in terms of sensitivity and specificity. Loglinear regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between POMA scores and the occurrence of a fall. Results: The POMA showed several feasibility problems, with 41% of patients having problems in understanding one or more instructions. The inter-rater reliability of the instrument was good. The predictive validity was acceptable, with a sensitivity of 70-85% and a specificity of 51-61% for the POMA and its subtests, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.70 for POMA-Total (95% CI: 0.53-0.81), 0.67 for POMA-Balance (95% CI: 0.52-0.81), and 0.67 for POMA-Gait (95% CI: 0.53-0.81). After loglinear regression analysis, only POMA-T was significant in predicting a fall (adjusted HR = 1.08 per point lower; 95% CI 1.00-1.17). Conclusions: Application of the POMA in populations with moderate to severe dementia is hampered by feasibility problems. Its implementation in clinical practice cannot therefore be recommended, despite an acceptable predictive validity. To refine our findings, large prospective studies on the predictive validity of the POMA in populations with mild, moderate and severe dementia are needed. In addition, the performance of mobility assessment methods that are less dependent on cognition should be evaluated.

Comparison of inter-and intra-cycle variability of anti-Müllerian hormone and antral follicle counts (Article)

2010-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: The antral follicle count (AFC) and anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) both represent age-related follicular decline quite accurately, although long-term follow-up studies are still lacking. The best ovarian reserve test would need only a single, cycle-independent measurement to be representative. METHODS: To compare the inter-and intra-cycle stability of AFC and AMH, we used age-adjusted intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs). To measure inter-cycle stability across a number of up to four menstrual cycles, we used data, prospectively collected for the purpose of an other study, from 77 regularly cycling, infertile women aged 24-40 years. AMH and AFC values were measured on cycle day 3. To study intra-cycle variability, we used data from a prospective cohort study of 44 regularly cycling volunteers, aged 25-46 years and measured AMH and assessed the AFC (2-10 mm) every 1-3 cycle days. RESULTS: Between menstrual cycles, AFC and AMH varied between 0 and 25 follicles (median 10), and 0.3 and 27.1 ng/ml (median 4.64). The difference in age-adjusted ICC between AMH [ICC, 0.89 (95% CI, 0.84-0.94)] and AFC [ICC, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.63-0.77)] was 0.18 (95% CI, 0.12-0.27). For the intra-cycle variation, 0-43 antral follicles (median 7) were counted per volunteer. The difference in age-adjusted ICC between AMH [ICC, 0.87 (95% CI, 0.82-0.91)] and AFC [ICC, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.46-0.82)] was 0.18 (95% CI, 0.034-0.42). CONCLUSION: SSerum AMH demonstrated less individual intra-and inter-cycle variation than AFCs and may therefore be considered a more reliable and robust means of assessing ovarian reserve in subfertile women.

Development of a digital Childhood Health Assessment Questionnaire for systematic monitoring of disease activity in daily practice (Article)

2009-12-01T00:00:00Z

Objective. To develop a reliable and user-friendly digital Childhood HAQ (CHAQ) to facilitate systematic monitoring of disease activity at the outpatient clinic in juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) patients. Methods. The digital CHAQ was tested with patients who visited the outpatient paediatric rheumatology clinic of the Erasmus MC Sophia Children's Hospital. These patients completed in a randomized order the paper form and digital CHAQ while being observed. Validity was tested by comparing outcomes with the paper form CHAQ. User-friendliness was evaluated through a short questionnaire. Results. A digital CHAQ was developed and revised several times according to our observations. Outcome is automatically calculated and can be printed. Fifty-one patients completed both the digital and paper form CHAQ. Correlation coefficient between both outcomes of the CHAQ Disability Index was 0.974. No statistically significantly differences in median outcome were found in visual analogue scale (VAS) pain (25.6 vs 25.9mm) and VAS well-being (20.1 vs 19.5 mm). Although the mean time (5.06 min) to complete the digital CHAQ was significantly longer than the mean time (3.75 min) to complete the paper form, the majority of patients (75%) preferred the digital version. User-friendliness received maximum positive score. Conclusion. We developed a reliable and user-friendly digital CHAQ, which can be easily and systematically completed during routine clinic visits. Such digitalization of questionnaires can be applied in any field to make systematic monitoring of disease activity in daily practice possible.

Serum levels of leptin as marker for patients at high risk of gastric cancer (Article)

2009-12-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Serological screening for gastric cancer (GC) may reduce mortality. However, optimal serum markers for advanced gastric precursor lesions are lacking. Aim: To evaluate in a case-control study whether serum leptin levels correlate with intestinal metaplasia (IM) and can serve as a tool to identify patients at high risk for GC. Materials and Methods: Cases were patients with a previous diagnosis of IM or dysplasia, controls were patients without such a diagnosis. All patients underwent endoscopy. Fasting serum was collected for the measurement of leptin, pepsinogens I/II, gastrin, and Helicobacter pylori. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and their area under the curve (AUC) were provided to compare serum leptin levels with other serological markers. Results: One hundred nineteen cases and 98 controls were included. In cases, the median leptin levels were 116.6 pg/mL versus 81.9 pg/mL in controls (p =.01). After adjustment for age, sex and BMI, leptin levels remained higher in cases than in controls (p <.005). In multivariate analysis, male sex (p =.002), age (<0.001), low pepsinogen levels (p =.004) and high leptin levels (p =.04) were independent markers for the presence of IM. In addition, a ROC curve including age, sex and pepsinogen I levels had an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI (0.73-0.85)). Adding serum leptin levels increased the AUC to 0.81 (95% CI (0.75-0.86)). Conclusions: High leptin levels are associated with an increased risk of IM. Moreover, serum leptin levels are a significant independent marker for the presence of IM. However, in combination with the serological test for pepsinogen I the additional value of serum leptin levels is rather limited.

Spatiotemporal dynamics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, Beijing, People's Republic of China (Article)

2009-12-01T00:00:00Z

We used geographic information systems to characterize the dynamic change in spatial distribution of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Beijing, People's Republic of China. The seasonal variation in its incidence was observed by creating an epidemic curve. HFRS was associated with developed land, orchards, and rice paddies.

Risk factors for SARS infection among hospital healthcare workers in Beijing: A case control study (Article)

2009-11-09T00:00:00Z

Objective To evaluate possible severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) infection associated risk factors in a SARS affected hospital in Beijing by means of a case control study. Methods Fifty-one infected and 426 uninfected staff members were asked about risk behaviours and protective measures when attending to SARS patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the major risk and protective factors. Results Multivariate analysis confirmed the strong role of performing chest compression (or intubation, which is highly correlated), contact with respiratory secretion, and emergency care experience as risk factors to acquire SARS infection. For the studied protective measures, wearing 16-layer cotton surgical mask, wearing 12-layer cotton surgical mask, wearing multiple layers of mask, taking prophylactic medicine, taking training and nose washing turned out to be protective against infection. Conclusions This study highlighted activities associated with increased and decreased risk for SARS infection during close contact with SARS patients. These findings may help to guide recommendations for the protection of high-risk occupational groups.

Aneuploidy and overexpression of Ki67 and p53 as markers for neoplastic progression in Barrett's esophagus: A case-control study (Article)

2009-11-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVES: Surveillance of patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) aims at early detection and treatment of neoplastic changes, particularly esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The histological evaluation of biopsy samples has its limitations, and biomarkers may improve early identification of BE patients at risk for progression to EAC. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of p53, Ki67, and aneuploidy as markers of neoplastic progression in BE. METHODS: A total of 27 BE patients with histologically proven progression to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or EAC (cases) and 27 BE patients without progression (controls) were selected and matched for age, gender, and duration of follow-up. Dysplasia grade was determined in 212 biopsy samples obtained during surveillance endoscopies from cases and in 231 biopsy samples collected from controls. DNA ploidy status was determined by flow cytometry, whereas Ki67 and p53 expression was determined by immunohistochemistry. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated by Cox regression adjusted for potentially confounding variables. RESULTS: A univariate analysis showed that low-grade dysplasia (LGD) increased the risk of developing HGD/EAC compared with no dysplasia (HR 3.6; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.6 - 8.1). Aneuploidy (HR 3.5; 95% CI: 1.3-9.4), strong Ki67 overexpression (HR 5.2; 95% CI: 1.5-17.6), and moderate p53 overexpression (HR 6.5; 95% CI: 2.5-17.1) were also associated with an increased risk of developing HGD/EAC, independent of the histological result. A multivariable analysis showed that in the presence of LGD, p53 overexpression, and to a lesser extent, Ki67 overexpression remained important risk factors for neoplastic progression, whereas aneuploidy was no longer predictive. CONCLUSIONS: p53 overexpression and, to a lesser extent, Ki67 overexpression could predict neoplastic progression in BE irrespective of the histological result. These markers may be useful for identifying patients at an increased risk of developing EAC, either alone or used as a panel.

Psychological causes of non-compliance with electronically monitored occlusion therapy for amblyopia (Article)

2009-11-01T00:00:00Z

Aim: To analyse psychological causes for low compliance with occlusion therapy for amblyopia. Method: In a randomised trial, the effect of an educational programme on electronically measured compliance had been assessed. 149 families who participated in this trial completed a questionnaire based on the Protection Motivation Theory after 8 months of treatment. Families with compliance less than 20% of prescribed occlusion hours were interviewed to better understand their cause for non-compliance. Results: Poor compliance was most strongly associated with a high degree of distress (p<0.001), followed by low perception of vulnerability (p = 0.014), increased stigma (p = 0.017) and logistical problems with treatment (p = 0.044). Of 44 families with electronically measured compliance less than 20%, 28 could be interviewed. The interviews confirmed that lack of knowledge, distress and logistical problems resulted in non-compliance. Conclusion: Poor parental knowledge, distress and difficulties implementing treatment seemed to be associated with non-compliance. For the same domains, the scores were more favourable for families who had received the educational programme than for those who had not.

Increase in basal cell carcinoma incidence steepest in individuals with high socioeconomic status: Results of a cancer registry study in the Netherlands (Article)

2009-10-01T00:00:00Z

Background Development of both basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and cutaneous malignant melanoma (MM) is associated with acute and intermittent sun exposure. In contrast to MM, the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and BCC is not well documented. Objectives To investigate the incidence of BCC according to SES, stratifying by age and tumour localization in a large population-based cohort. To assess changes over time in the distribution of the patients with BCC across the SES categories. Methods All patients with a histologically confirmed first primary BCC (n = 27027) diagnosed between 1988 and 2005 in the Southeast of the Netherlands were stratified by sex, age (25-44, 45-64 and ≥ 65 years), period of diagnosis, SES category (based on income and value of housing) and localization of the BCC. Age-standardized BCC incidence rates were calculated for the year 2004 by SES category and localization. Ordinal regression was used to assess changes over time in the proportion of patients with BCC by sex, age and SES. Results For men in all age groups higher BCC incidence in the highest SES category was observed, which remained significant after stratification for tumour localization. For women a consistent relationship was found only in younger women (< 65 years) for truncal BCCs, which occurred more frequently in high SES groups. Between 1990 and 2004, the proportion of BCC patients with high SES increased (+6%) and the proportion with low SES decreased (-7%). Conclusions High SES is associated with increased incidence of BCC among men. Our data suggest that BCC is changing from a disease of the poor to a disease of the rich.

High therapy adherence but substantial limitations to daily activities amongst members of the Dutch inflammatory bowel disease patients' organization: A patient empowerment study (Article)

2009-10-01T00:00:00Z

SummaryBackground Adherence is important for successful treatment in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients. Previous studies demonstrated high prevalence of non-adherence. Aim To assess IBD-patients' perceptions of therapy adherence and disease-related functional status in members of the Dutch patients' association of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis (CCUVN). Methods Inflammatory bowel disease-patients completed anonymously a survey at the website of the CCUVN. Statistical analysis was performed using principal component analysis, univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Results The questionnaire was completed by 1067 patients [617 (58%) Crohn's disease (CD) and 450 (42%) ulcerative colitis (UC)]. Mean age was 43 years (s.d. 13.7); women (66%). Of 920 patients currently using medication, 797 (87%) were adherent. Of the patients using 5-ASA, 91% were adherent (527/582), vs. 96% using corticosteroids (316/330) and 97% (414/425) using immunosuppressives. CD patients (OR 1.54; 95% CI 1.05-2.27), patients with duration of disease ≤8 years (OR 2.25; 95% CI 1.49-3.39) were more adherent. Fifty percent of patients reported a low functional status and were limited in daily activities. Conclusion This population-based study shows high therapy adherence, but low functional status in Dutch CCUVN-related IBD-patients. The high adherence rate in this present study could be an effect of CCUVN membership.

Incidence of cervical cancer after several negative smear results by age 50: prospective observational study (Article)

2009-08-17T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of cervical cancer after several negative cervical smear tests at different ages. DESIGN: Prospective observational study of incidence of cervical cancer after the third consecutive negative result based on individual level data in a national registry of histopathology and cytopathology (PALGA). SETTING: Netherlands, national data. Population 218,847 women aged 45-54 and 445,382 aged 30-44 at the time of the third negative smear test. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 10 year cumulative incidence of interval cervical cancer. RESULTS: 105 women developed cervical cancer within 2 595,964 woman years at risk after the third negative result at age 30-44 and 42 within 1,278,532 woman years at risk after age 45-54. During follow-up, both age groups had similar levels of screening. After 10 years of follow-up, the cumulative incidence rate of cervical cancer was similar: 41/100,000 (95% confidence interval 33 to 51) in the younger group and 36/100,000 (24 to 52) in the older group (P=0.48). The cumulative incidence rate of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade I+ was twice as high in the younger than in the older group (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The risk for cervical cancer after several negative smear results by age 50 is similar to the risk at younger ages. Even after several negative smear results, age is not a good discriminative factor for early cessation of cervical cancer screening.

A labelled discrete choice experiment adds realism to the choices presented: preferences for surveillance tests for Barrett esophagus. (Article)

2009-07-02T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) allow systematic assessment of preferences by asking respondents to choose between scenarios. We conducted a labelled discrete choice experiment with realistic choices to investigate patients' trade-offs between the expected health gains and the burden of testing in surveillance of Barrett esophagus (BE). METHODS: Fifteen choice scenarios were selected based on 2 attributes: 1) type of test (endoscopy and two less burdensome fictitious tests), 2) frequency of surveillance. Each test-frequency combination was associated with its own realistic decrease in risk of dying from esophageal adenocarcinoma. A conditional logit model was fitted. RESULTS: Of 297 eligible patients (155 BE and 142 with non-specific upper GI symptoms), 247 completed the questionnaire (84%). Patients preferred surveillance to no surveillance. Current surveillance schemes of once every 1-2 years were amongst the most preferred alternatives. Higher health gains were preferred over those with lower health gains, except when test frequencies exceeded once a year. For similar health gains, patients preferred video-capsule over saliva swab and least preferred endoscopy. CONCLUSION: This first example of a labelled DCE using realistic scenarios in a healthcare context shows that such experiments are feasible. A comparison of labelled and unlabelled designs taking into account setting and research question is recommended.

Construct validation of the Amblyopia and Strabismus Questionnaire (A&SQ) by factor analysis (Article)

2009-06-08T00:00:00Z

Background: The Amblyopia and Strabismus Questionnaire (A&SQ) was previously developed to assess quality of life (QoL) in amblyopia and/or strabismus patients. Here, factor analysis with Varimax rotation was employed to confirm that the questions of the A&SQ correlated to dimensions of quality of life (QoL) in such patients. Methods: Responses on the A&SQ from three groups were analyzed: healthy adults (controls) (n = 53), amblyopia and/or strabismus patients (n = 72), and a historic cohort of amblyopes born between 1962-1972 and occluded between 1968-1974 (n = 173). The correlations among the responses to the 26 A&SQ items were factor-analysed by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). As the development of the A&SQ was intuitive-deductive, it was expected that the pattern of correlation could be explained by the five a priori hypothesized dimensions: fear of losing the better eye, distance estimation, visual disorientation, diplopia, and social contact and cosmetic problems. Distribution of questions along the factors derived by PCA was examined by orthogonal Varimax rotation. Results: Data from 296 respondents were analyzed. PCA provided that six factors (cutoff point eigenvalue >1.0) accumulatively explained 70.5% of the variance. All A&SQ dimensions but one matched with four factors found by Varimax rotation (factor loadings >0.50), while two factors pertained to the fifth dimension. The six factors explained 33.7% (social contact and cosmetic problems); 10.3% (near distance estimation); 8.7% (diplopia); 7.2% (visual disorientation); 6.3% (fear of losing the better eye); and 4.3% (far distance estimation), together 70.48% of the item variance. Conclusion: The highly explained variance in the A&SQ scores by the factors found by the PCA confirmed the a priori hypothesized dimensions of this QoL instrument.

Increased risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in patients with gastric atrophy: Independent of the severity of atrophic changes (Article)

2009-05-01T00:00:00Z

An association between gastric atrophy and esophageal squamous cell carcinomas (ESCC) has been described. However, the mechanism of this association is unknown. In this study, we aimed to examine this relationship in a cohort of patients with varying grades of gastric atrophy to increase the understanding about the causality of the association. Patients diagnosed with gastric atrophy between 1991 and 2005 were identified in the Dutch nationwide histopathology registry (PALGA). The incidence of ESCC and, presumably unrelated, small cell lung carcinomas (SCLC) observed in these patients was compared with that in the general Dutch population. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated by a Poisson model. At baseline histological examination, 97,728 patients were diagnosed with gastric atrophy, of whom 23,278 with atrophic gastritis, 65,934 with intestinal metaplasia and 8,516 with dysplasia. During follow-up, 126 patients were diagnosed with ESCC and 263 with SCLC (overall rates 0.19, respectively 0.39/1,000 person-years at risk). Compared with the general Dutch population, patients with gastric atrophy ran a RR of developing ESCC of 2.2 [95% CI 1.8-2.6] and of SCLC of 1.8 [95% CI 1.6-2.1]. The risk of ESCC did not increase with increasing severity of gastric atrophy (p = 0.90). In conclusion, this study found an association between gastric atrophy and both ESCC and SCLC, but the risk of ESCC did not increase with the severity of gastric atrophy. Therefore, a causal relationship seems unlikely. Confounding factors, such as smoking, may explain both associations.

Explaining educational inequalities in birthweight: The Generation R Study (Article)

2009-05-01T00:00:00Z

Although low socio-economic status has consistently been associated with lower birthweight, little is known about the factors whereby socio-economic disadvantage influences birthweight. We therefore examined explanatory mechanisms that may underlie the association between the educational level of pregnant women, as an indicator of socio-economic status, and birthweight. The study was embedded within a population-based cohort study in the Netherlands. Information on maternal education, offspring's birthweight and several determinants of birthweight was available for 3546 pregnant women of Dutch origin. Infants of the lowest educated women had a statistically significantly lower birthweight than infants of the highest educated women [difference adjusted for gender and gestational age: -123 g (95% CI -167, -79)]. Parity, age of the pregnant women, hypertension, parental height and parental birthweight, marital status, pregnancy planning, financial concerns, number of people in household, weight gain and smoking habits individually explained part of the differences in birthweight, while adjustment for working hours and body mass index resulted in increases in birthweight differences between the educational levels. After full adjustment, the difference in birthweight between lowest and highest education was reduced by 66%. Our study confirmed remarkable educational inequalities in birthweight, a large part of which was explained by pregnancy characteristics, anthropometrics, the psychosocial and material situation, and lifestyle-related factors. Altering smoking habits may be an option to reduce educational differences in birthweight, as many lower-educated women tend to continue smoking during pregnancy. In order to tackle inequalities in birthweight, it is important that interventions are accessible for pregnant women in lower socio-economic strata.

Relationships of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D to bone mineral density and serum parathyroid hormone and markers of bone turnover in older persons (Article)

2009-04-01T00:00:00Z

Context: Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] may influence serum PTH and other parameters of bone health up to a threshold concentration, which may be between 25 and 80 nmol/liter. Objective: The aim of the study was to assess the threshold serum 25(OH)D with regard to PTH, bone turnover markers, and bone mineral density (BMD). Design and Setting: This was part of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam, an ongoing cohort study. Participants: A total of 1319 subjects (643 men and 676 women) between the ages of 65 and 88 yr participated in the study. Main Outcome Measures: Serum 25(OH)D, PTH, osteocalcin, urinary deoxypyridinoline/creatinine, quantitative ultrasound of the heel, BMD of lumbar spine and hip, total body bone mineral content, and physical performance. The relationship between the variables was explored by analysis of covariance and the locally weighted regression (LOESS) plots. Results: Serum 25(OH)D was below 25 nmol/liter in 11.5%, below 50 nmol/liter in 48.4%, below 75 nmol/liter in 82.4%, and above 75 nmol/liter in 17.6% of the respondents. Mean serum PTH decreased gradually from 5.1 pmol/liter when serum 25(OH)D was below 25 nmol/liter to 3.1 pmol/liter when serum 25(OH)D was above 75 nmol/liter (P < 0.001) without reaching a plateau. All BMD values were higher in the higher serum 25(OH)D groups, although only significantly for total hip (P = 0.01), trochanter (P = 0.001), and total body bone mineral content (P = 0.005). A threshold of about 40 nmol/liter existed for osteocalcin and deoxypyridinoline/creatinine, 50 nmol/liter for BMD, and 60 nmol/liter for physical performance. Conclusions: Low serum 25(OH)D concentrations are common in the elderly. Bone health and physical performance in older persons are likely to improve when serum 25(OH)D is raised above 50-60 nmol/liter. Copyright

Practical operationalizations of risk factors for fracture in older women: results from two longitudinal studies (Article)

2009-03-01T00:00:00Z

Several guidelines on osteoporosis have proposed algorithms to identify persons at high risk of fractures. Although these algorithms include well-known risk factors, it is not clear how they can best be operationalized for use in general practice. The aim of this study was to compare the predictive performance of different operationalizations of four categories of risk factors for fractures that can be used in general practice. This study included 4157 women of ≥60 yr of age (mean ± SD: 74.1 ± 9.1 yr) with a median follow-up of 8.9 yr of the Rotterdam Study and 762 women of ≥65 yr of age (mean ± SD: 76.0 ± 6.7.yr) with a median follow-up of 6.0 yr of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA). At baseline, information on four categories of risk factors was obtained, including (1) family history of hip fractures, (2) type of prior fractures, (3) low body weight/body mass index (BMI), and (4) mobility impairment. The occurrence of fragility fractures, including hip, pelvic, humerus, and wrist fractures, was used as outcome measure. We quantified the predictive performance of each risk factor by a X2statistic, calculated as the difference in -2 Log likelihood attributable to the risk factor, with adjustment for age and other risk factors. In the Rotterdam Study, 399 fragility fractures occurred during 31, 472 person-years (PY) of follow-up. In this study, any prior fracture in the past 5 yr (x2= 6; p = 0.02), body weight < 64 kg (versus >64 kg; X2= 6.7; p = 0.01), BMI < 22 kg/m2(versus >22 kg/m2; X2= 8.7; p = 0.003), and use of a walking aid (x2= 7.5; p = 0.004) were the most practical operationalizations of the risk factor categories, after adjustment for age and other risk factors. In LASA, 52 fragility fractures occurred during 3935 PY of follow-up. Associations were similar as in the Rotterdam Study, except that low body weight and BMI were not associated with fragility fracture. None of the usual operationalizations of family history of hip fractures was independently associated with fragility fracture in either study. Prior osteoporotic fracture, body weight >64 kg, a BMI >22 kg/m2, and the use of a walking aid are practical operationalizations of risk factors for fragility fractures. On the basis of the results of this study, a simple, practical algorithm can be developed for use in general practice.

The maternal Mediterranean dietary pattern is associated with a reduced risk of spina bifida in the offspring (Article)

2009-02-01T00:00:00Z

Objective: The objective of this study was to test the hypothesis whether a maternal dietary pattern is associated with the risk of spina bifida (SB) in the offspring. Design: Case-control study. Setting: Eight clinic sites in the Netherlands, 1999-2001. Sample: A total of 50 mothers of children with SB and 81 control mothers. Methods: Maternal food intakes were obtained by food frequency questionnaires at the standardised study moment of 14 months after the birth of the index child. Principal component factor analysis (PCA) and reduced rank regression (RRR) were used to identify dietary patterns. Main outcome measures: Maternal biomarkers were used as response measures in the RRR analysis and composed of serum and red blood cell (RBC) folate, serum vitamin B12 and total plasma homocysteine. The strength of the use of the dietary pattern in association with SB risk was estimated by odds ratios and 95% CI with the highest quartiles of the dietary pattern as reference. Results: A predominantly Mediterranean dietary pattern was identified by both PCA and RRR. Those dietary patterns were highly correlated (r = 0.51, P < 0.001) and characterised by joint intakes of fruit, vegetables, vegetable oil, alcohol, fish, legumes and cereals and low intakes of potatoes and sweets. We observed a significantly increased risk of SB offspring in mothers with a weak use of the Mediterranean dietary pattern, OR 2.7 (95% CI 1.2-6.1) and OR 3.5 (95% CI 1.5-7.9). The Mediterranean dietary pattern was correlated with higher levels of serum and RBC folate, serum vitamin B12 and lower plasma homocysteine. Conclusion: The Mediterranean dietary pattern seems to be associated with reduction in the risk of offspring being affected by SB.

Risk of Colorectal Cancer in Patients With Barrett's Esophagus: A Dutch Population-Based Study (Article)

2009-01-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVES:The association between Barrett's esophagus (BE) and colorectal cancer (CRC) is controversial. Population-based studies on the risk of CRC in BE are scarce. The aim of this study was to determine the risk of CRC in a nationwide cohort of patients with BE in the Netherlands with long-term follow-up.METHODS:Patients diagnosed with BE between 1991 and 2006 were identified in the Dutch nationwide histopathology registry (Pathologisch Anatomisch Landelijk Geautomatiseerd Archief (PALGA)). The incidence of CRC observed in these patients was compared with that in the general Dutch population aged >40 years. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using a Poisson model.RESULTS:A total of 42,207 patients with a first diagnosis of BE were included in this study. During a mean follow-up of 5.6 years (s.d. 4), 713 patients (1.7%) were diagnosed with CRC (overall rate: 3.4/1,000 person-years at risk), at a mean age of 73.7 years (s.d. 10). All CRCs occurred in BE patients aged >40 years, and the majority (96%) in those over 50 years of age. Of those CRCs, 317 (44%) were detected within the first year after initial BE diagnosis, and 396 (54%) thereafter. For all patients with BE, CRC risk was 1.70 (95% CI: 1.58-1.83), as compared with the general Dutch population aged >40 years. However, CRC risk within the first year of follow-up after BE diagnosis (RR: 4.76 (95% CI: 4.26-5.31)) was significantly higher than within 1-5 years of follow-up (RR: 0.99 (95% CI: 0.86-1.14)) or more than 5 years of follow-up (RR: 1.28 (95% CI: 1.11-1.47)) (P<0.001).CONCLUSIONS:This population-based study shows an overall increased risk of CRC in patients with BE as compared with the general Dutch population, which can for the greater part be explained by diagnostic bias. The magnitude of the association between BE and CRC does not merit a more extensive CRC screening strategy in BE patients than has currently been recommended for the general population.Am J Gastroenterol advance online publication, 1 September 2009; doi:10.1038/ajg.2009.503.

No increased risk for cervical cancer after a broader definition of a negative pap smear (Article)

2008-11-08T00:00:00Z

The definition of minimal relevant Pap smear abnormality is crucial for balancing the beneficial effects of screening (prevented mortality) with negative side-effects (the high positivity rate). After inflammation ceased to be defined as a borderline abnormal smear outcome in The Netherlands in 1996, the proportion of these smears dropped from 10% to less than 2%. Because this may have caused a loss in smear sensitivity, we analysed the changes in the incidence of cervical cancer after a negative Pap smear. All negative smears made at ages 30-64 in 1990-1995 (n = 1,546,252) and 1998-2006 (n = 3,552,716), registered in the national registry of histo- and cytopathology (PALGA), were followed for up to 9 years. During follow-up of the 1990-1995 smears, 377 women developed cervical cancer within 5,232,959 woman-years at risk, while during the follow-up of the 1998-2006 smears, 619 women developed cervical cancer within 11,210,675 woman-years at risk. The cumulative incidence after the definition change was not significantly higher than before: e.g. at 6 years, the cumulative incidence for smears made in 1990-1995 was 46 per 100,000 (95% CI: 41-52), and for smears in 1998-2006 was 48 per 100,000 (95% CI: 43-54), p = 0.59. The hazard ratio for 1998-2006 compared to 1990-1995 adjusted for age, number of previous negative smears and history of abnormalities was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.78-1.03). In The Netherlands, a setting with high-quality cytological screening, treating smears with only signs of inflammation as negative leads to a considerably lower positivity rate without increasing the risk for cervical cancer after a negative smear.

Gastric MALT lymphoma: Epidemiology and high adenocarcinoma risk in a nation-wide study (Article)

2008-11-01T00:00:00Z

Background: Gastric marginal zone non-Hodgkin lymphomas MALT type (gMALT) and gastric adenocarcinomas (GC) are long-term complications of chronic Helicobacter pylori gastritis, however, the incidence of gMALT and the GC risk in these patients is unclear. Objective: To evaluate epidemiological time trends of gMALT in the Netherlands and to estimate GC risk. Methods: Patients with a first diagnosis of gMALT between 1991 and 2006 were identified in the Dutch nation-wide histopathology registry (PALGA). Age-standardised incidence rates were calculated. The incidences of GC in patients with gMALT and in the Dutch population were compared. Relative risks were calculated by a Poisson Model. Results: In total, 1419 patients were newly diagnosed with gMALT, compatible with an incidence of 0.41/100,000/year. GC was diagnosed in 34 (2.4%) patients of the cohort. Patients with gMALT had a sixfold increased risk for GC in comparison with the general population (p < 0.001). This risk was 16.6 times higher in gMALT patients aged between 45 and 59 years than in the Dutch population (p < 0.001). Conclusions: GC risk in patients with gMALT is six times higher than in the Dutch population and warrants accurate re-evaluation after diagnosis and treatment for gMALT.

The relation between non-occupational physical activity and years lived with and without disability (Article)

2008-09-15T00:00:00Z

Objectives: The effects of non-occupational physical activity were assessed on the number of years lived with and without disability between age 50 and 80 years. Methods: Using the GLOBE study and the Longitudinal Study of Aging, multi-state life tables were constructed yielding the number of years with and without disability between age 50 and 80 years. To obtain life tables by level of physical activity (low, moderate, high), hazard ratios were derived for different physical activity levels per transition (non-disabled to disabled, non-disabled to death, disabled to non-disabled, disabled to death) adjusted for age, sex and confounders. Results: Moderate, compared to low non-occupational physical activity reduced incidence of disability (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.86), increased recovery (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.87), and represents a gain of disability-free years and a loss of years with disability (male 3.1 and 1.2; female 4.0 and 2.8 years). Performing high levels of non-occupational physical activity further reduced incidence, and showed a higher gain in disability-free years (male 4.1; female 4.7), but a similar reduction in years with disability. Conclusion: Among 50–80-year-olds promoting physical activity is a fundamental factor to achieve healthy ageing. In 2025 1.2 billion people worldwide will be aged 60 years and over.1 Living longer is a societal achievement, but also a source of concern as prevalence of major chronic diseases and disability increase with age. A rising share of older age groups in the population will increase the burden of morbidity and will put an upward pressure on costs. The number of older people with severe disability may be 40% to 75% higher by 2030 because of population ageing.2 Health and long-term care spending is projected to almost double by 2050 across members of the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). In the approach of "healthy" ageing, however, these consequences might be mitigated. Physical activity is an important candidate tool to achieve healthy ageing. Physical activity reduces mortality,3 extends life expectancy4 and delays the onset of chronic diseases, including cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer and diabetes.3–5 Increasing evidence exists that physical activity also delays the onset of disability,6–22 and increases the chances8 15 22–24 and duration of recovery from disability.23 Although an active lifestyle has been found to increase life expectancy in some studies and to reduce disability in others, its overall effect on health is still largely unknown. There are limited data about the effects of physical activity on the number of years with and without disability and these effects are not easy to predict. The effects of risk factors for both disability and death, such as physical activity, can follow different directions.25 Therefore, it is unclear whether the extra years gained by engaging in a physically active lifestyle will be free of disability or will add to the time lived with disability. The aim of this study is to assess the effects of non-occupational physical activity on life expectancy and the number of years lived with and without disability in 50–80-year-olds.

Environmental factors contributing to the spread of H5N1 avian influenza in mainland China (Article)

2008-05-28T00:00:00Z

Background: Since late 2003, highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks caused by infection with H5N1 virus has led to the deaths of millions of poultry and more than 10 thousands of wild birds, and as of 18-March 2008, at least 373 laboratory-confirmed human infections with 236 fatalities, have occurred. The unrestrained worldwide spread of this disease has caused great anxiety about the potential of another global pandemic. However, the effect of environmental factors influencing the spread of HPAI H5N1 virus is unclear. Methodology/Principal Findings: A database including incident dates and locations was developed for 128 confirmed HPAI H5N1 outbreaks in poultry and wild birds, as well as 21 human cases in mainland China during 2004-2006. These data, together with information on wild bird migration, poultry densities, and environmental variables (water bodies, wetlands, transportation routes, main cities, precipitation and elevation), were integrated into a Geographical Information System (GIS). A case-control design was used to identify the environmental factors associated with the incidence of the disease. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that minimal distance to the nearest national highway, annual precipitation and the interaction between minimal distance to the nearest lake and wetland, were important predictive environmental variables for the risk of HPAI. A risk map was constructed based on these factors. Conclusions/Significance: Our study indicates that environmental factors contribute to the spread of the disease. The risk map can be used to target countermeasures to stop further spread of the HPAI H5N1 at its source.

Quality of Life During Neoadjuvant Treatment and After Surgery for Resectable Esophageal Carcinoma (Article)

2008-05-01T00:00:00Z

Purpose: Because of the trade-off between the potentially negative quality-of-life (QoL) effects and uncertain favorable survival effect of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in patients with resectable esophageal cancer, we assessed heath-related QoL (HRQoL) for up to 1 year postoperatively in these patients treated with preoperative CRT with a non-platinum-based outpatient regimen followed by esophagectomy. Methods and Materials: Patients undergoing neoadjuvant paclitaxel and carboplatin therapy concurrent with radiotherapy followed by surgery completed standardized HRQoL questionnaires before and after CRT and at regular times up to 1 year postoperatively. We analyzed differences in generic Qol core questionnaire [QLQ-C30] and condition-specific (esophageal site-specific [OES-18]) HRQoL scores over time by using a linear mixed-effects model. Results: Mean scores of most HRQoL scales deteriorated significantly during neoadjuvant CRT. The largest deterioration was observed for physical and role-functioning scales. All except two symptom scores worsened significantly. Postoperatively, most mean HRQoL scores improved until recovery to baseline level. Speed of improvement varied. Average taste score returned to baseline 3 months postoperatively, whereas it took 1 year for the average role-functioning score to restore. The emotional-functioning score showed a different pattern; it was worst at baseline and increased over time during CRT and postoperatively. Dysphagia and pain scores worsened considerably during CRT, restored to baseline 3 months postoperatively, and were even significantly better 1 year postoperatively. Conclusions: Preoperative CRT with paclitaxel and carboplatin for patients with resectable esophageal cancer had a considerable temporary negative effect on most aspects of HRQoL. Nonetheless, all HRQoL scores were restored or even improved 1 year postoperatively.

Gastric Cancer Risk in Patients With Premalignant Gastric Lesions: A Nationwide Cohort Study in the Netherlands (Article)

2008-04-01T00:00:00Z

Background & Aims: A cascade of precursor lesions (eg, atrophic gastritis, intestinal metaplasia, and dysplasia) precedes most gastric adenocarcinomas. Quantification of gastric cancer risk in patients with premalignant gastric lesions is unclear, however. Consequently, endoscopic surveillance is controversial, especially in Western populations. Methods: To analyze current surveillance practice and gastric cancer risk in patients with premalignant gastric lesions, all patients with a first diagnosis between 1991 and 2004 were identified in the Dutch nationwide histopathology registry (PALGA); follow-up data were evaluated until December 2005. Results: In total, 22,365 (24%) patients were diagnosed with atrophic gastritis, 61,707 (67%) with intestinal metaplasia, 7616 (8%) with mild-to-moderate dysplasia, and 562 (0.6%) with severe dysplasia. Patients with a diagnosis of atrophic gastritis, intestinal metaplasia, or mild-to-moderate dysplasia received re-evaluation in 26%, 28%, and 38% of cases, respectively, compared with 61% after a diagnosis of severe dysplasia (P < .001). The annual incidence of gastric cancer was 0.1% for patients with atrophic gastritis, 0.25% for intestinal metaplasia, 0.6% for mild-to-moderate dysplasia, and 6% for severe dysplasia within 5 years after diagnosis. Risk factors for gastric cancer development were increasing severity of premalignant gastric lesions at initial diagnosis (eg, severe dysplasia, hazard ratio 40.14, 95% confidence interval 32.2-50.1), increased age (eg, 75-84 years, hazard ratio 3.75, 95% confidence interval 2.8-5.1), and male gender (hazard ratio 1.50, 95% CI 1.3-1.7). Conclusions: Patients with premalignant gastric lesions are at considerable risk of gastric cancer. As current surveillance of these patients is inconsistent with their cancer risk, development of guidelines is indicated.

Expected poor ovarian response in predicting cumulative pregnancy rates: A powerful tool (Article)

2008-01-01T00:00:00Z

Poor ovarian response in IVF cycles is associated with poor pregnancy rates. Expected poor responders may represent the worst prognostic group. Data were used from 222 patients starting the first of three IVF treatment cycles. The predictability of ongoing pregnancy after three cycles was analysed using survival analysis and hazard rate ratios. If first cycle poor responders were also predicted to have a poor response, they were classified as expected poor responders. The predicted pregnancy rate in cycles 2 and 3 for women with an observed poor response in the first cycle was ∼24% for women aged 30 years and ∼14% for women aged 40 years. For women with an expected poor response these rates were 12% and 6%, respectively. In contrast, women aged 40 years with an unexpected poor response still had a predicted cumulative pregnancy rate of 24%. Age as a sole predictor of cumulative pregnancy does not help to identify poor prognosis cases. Cumulative pregnancy rates in subsequent cycles for patients with an observed poor response in the first cycle may be a reason to refrain from further treatment. However, if such poor response has been expected, further treatment may be avoided because of an unfavourable prognosis for pregnancy.

Epidemiological trends of pre-malignant gastric lesions: A long-term nationwide study in the Netherlands (Article)

2007-12-01T00:00:00Z

Background: The pre-malignant gastric lesions atrophic gastritis (AG), intestinal metaplasia (IM) and dysplasia (DYS) have long been identified as principal risk factors for gastric cancer. Objective: To evaluate epidemiological time trends of pre-malignant gastric lesions in the Netherlands. Methods: Patients with a first diagnosis of AG, IM or DYS between 1991 and 2005 were identified in the Dutch nationwide histopathology registry. The number of new diagnoses per year were evaluated relative to the total number of patients with a first gastric biopsy. Time trends were evaluated with age-period-cohort models using logistic regression analysis. Results: In total, 23 278 patients were newly diagnosed with AG, 65 937 patients with IM, and 8517 patients with DYS. The incidence of AG declined similarly in men and women with 8.2% per year [95% CI 7.9% to 8.6%], and DYS with 8.1% per year [95% CI 7.5% to 8.6%]. The proportional number of new IM cases declined with 2.9% per year [95% CI 2.7% to 3.1%] in men and 2.4% [95% CI 2.2% to 2.6%] in women. With age-period-cohort models a cohort phenomenon was demonstrated for all categories of pre-malignant gastric lesions in men and in women with IM and DYS. Period phenomena with a larger decline in number of diagnoses after 1996 were also demonstrated for AG and IM. Conclusions: The incidence of pre-malignant gastric lesions is declining. Period and cohort phenomena were demonstrated for diagnoses of AG and IM. These findings imply that a further decrease of at least 24% in the incidence of gastric cancer in the coming decade may be anticipated in Western countries without specific intervention.

Explaining differences in birthweight between ethnic populations. The Generation R Study (Article)

2007-12-01T00:00:00Z

Objective: To examine whether differences in birthweight of various ethnic groups residing in the Netherlands can be explained by determinants of birthweight. Design: Population-based birth cohort study. Setting: Data of pregnant women and their partners in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Population: We examined data of 6044 pregnant women with a Dutch, Moroccan, Turkish, Capeverdean, Antillean, Surinamese-Creole, Surinamese-Hindustani and Surinamese-other ethnic background. Methods: Regression analyses were used to assess the impact of biomedical, socio-demographic and lifestyle-related determinants on birthweight differences. Main outcome measure: Birthweight was established immediately after delivery in grams. Results: Compared with mean birthweight of offspring of Dutch women (3485 g, SD 555), the mean birthweight was lower in all non-Dutch populations, except in Moroccans. Differences ranged from an 88-g lower birthweight in offspring of the Turkish women to a 424-g lower birthweight in offspring of Surinamese-Hindustani women. Differences in gestational age, maternal and paternal height largely explained the lower birthweight in the Turkish, Antillean, Surinamese-Creole and Surinamese-other populations. Differences in birthweight between the Dutch and the Capeverdean and Surinamese-Hindustani populations could only partly be explained by the studied determinants. Conclusions: These results confirm significant differences in birthweight between ethnic populations that can only partly be understood from established determinants of birthweight. The part that is understood points to the importance of determinants that cannot easily be modified, such as parental height. Further study is necessary to obtain a fuller understanding.

Amblyopia and Strabismus Questionnaire (A&SQ): Clinical validation in a historic cohort (Article)

2007-11-01T00:00:00Z

Background: We recently developed the Amblyopia & Strabismus Questionnaire (A&SQ) to assess the quality of life in amblyopia and/ or strabismus patients, and evaluated its content and criterion validity. The A&SQ was now validated clinically by correlating its outcome with past and current orthoptic parameters in a historic cohort of amblyopia and/or strabismus patients. Methods: The cohort was derived from all 471 patients who were treated by occlusion therapy in the Waterland Hospital in Purmerend between 1968 and 1974 and born between 1962 and 1972. All children with insufficient visual acuity from the Waterland area had been referred to a single ophthalmologist and orthoptist. Of these, 203 were traced, and 174 filled out the A&SQ. In 137 of these, binocular vision, visual acuity, and angle of strabismus were reassessed 30-35 years after occlusion therapy. These clinical parameters were correlated with the five A&SQ domains: "distance estimation", "visual disorientation", "fear of losing the better eye", "diplopia", and "social contact and cosmetic problems". Results: The current acuity at distance of the amblyopic eye and reading acuity of the amblyopic eye correlated significantly with all five A&SQ domains (significance level P = 0.01-P = 0.05). Weaker correlations were found for binocularity. In spite of the expectation that stereopsis should strongly correlate with the domain "distance estimation", and angle of strabismus with the domain "social contact and cosmetic problems", the acuity of the amblyopic eye was the overall dominant parameter. Conclusions: The adult acuity of the amblyopic eye seems the most important clinical determinant for quality of life in amblyopia and/or strabismus patients, even in domains of distance estimation, visual disorientation, and social contact and cosmetic problems, although intermediate determinants cannot be excluded.

Clinical severity of psoriasis in last 20 years of PUVA study (Article)

2007-09-01T00:00:00Z

Objective: To assess the severity of psoriasis over time. Design: We analyzed the results of structured dermatologic examinations administered over a 20-year period beginning 10 years after study enrollment. Setting: The PUVA [psoralen-UV-A] Follow-up Study, which is a prospective cohort study. Patients: The analyses were restricted to 815 patients (83.2% of those eligible) who underwent at least 2 of 4 possible examinations between 1985 and 2005. Main Outcome Measure: A 4-point physician global assessment (PGA). Results: The distribution of the PGA levels in the study group did not change significantly over time, except that in 2005 more patients had no psoriasis compared with patients who underwent examinations in the previous study years (9.6% vs <5.1%, P<.03). The PGA level changed more than 1 level between examinations in only 14% of patients. Multistate Markov models estimated that patients had a likelihood of about 80% to remain at the same PGA level 1 year later. After 10 years, this likelihood varied between 19% and 53%, depending on the PGA level. Except for patients who were clear of disease at baseline, on average patients had about 1 year without psoriasis over 20 years. On average, individuals with moderate to severe disease remained at these levels for 11 or more years. Conclusion: Three decades after a large and diverse group of patients sought a cure for their psoriasis, consistent control of their psoriasis often had not been achieved.

The authors reply [2] (Article)

2007-09-01T00:00:00Z

Trends in the incidence of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus and cardia in the Netherlands 1989-2003 (Article)

2007-06-04T00:00:00Z

Over the 15-year period 1989-2003, the incidence of oesophagus-cardia adenocarcinoma in the Netherlands rose annually by 2.6% for males and 1.2% for females. This was the net outcome of annual increases in the incidence of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus (ACO) of 7.2% for males and 3.5% for females and annual declines in the incidence of adenocarcinoma of the gastric cardia (AGC) of more than 1% for both genders. Nonlinear cohort patterns were found in females with ACO and for both genders in AGC; a nonlinear period pattern was observed only in males with AGC. These differing epidemiological patterns for ACO and AGC do not support a common aetiology. Proposed underlying factors for the rise in ACO incidence appear to have little effect on AGC incidence. This and the secular decline in smoking among males may have led to the decline in AGC incidence.

Aging, retirement, and changes in physical activity: Prospective cohort findings from the GLOBE study (Article)

2007-06-01T00:00:00Z

There is increased recognition that determinants of health should be investigated in a life-course perspective. Retirement is a major transition in the life course and offers opportunities for changes in physical activity that may improve health in the aging population. The authors examined the effect of retirement on changes in physical activity in the GLOBE Study, a prospective cohort study known by the Dutch acronym for "Health and Living Conditions of the Population of Eindhoven and surroundings," 1991-2004. They followed respondents (n = 971) by postal questionnaire who were employed and aged 40-65 years in 1991 for 13 years, after which they were still employed (n = 287) or had retired (n = 684). Physical activity included 1) work-related transportation, 2) sports participation, and 3) nonsports leisure-time physical activity. Multinomial logistic regression analyses indicated that retirement was associated with a significantly higher odds for a decline in physical activity from work-related transportation (odds ratio (OR) = 3.03, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.97, 4.65), adjusted for sex, age, marital status, chronic diseases, and education, compared with remaining employed. Retirement was not associated with an increase in sports participation (OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 0.71, 1.75) or nonsports leisure-time physical activity (OR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.54, 1.19). In conclusion, retirement introduces a reduction in physical activity from work-related transportation that is not compensated for by an increase in sports participation or an increase in nonsports leisure-time physical activity. Copyright

Individual differences in the use of the response scale determine valuations of hypothetical health states: An empirical study (Article)

2007-05-23T00:00:00Z

Background. The effects of socio-demographic characteristics of the respondent, including age, on valuation scores of hypothetical health states remain inconclusive. Therefore, we analyzed data from a study designed to discriminate between the effects of respondents' age and time preference on valuations of health states to gain insight in the contribution of individual response patterns to the variance in valuation scores. Methods. A total of 212 respondents from three age groups valued the same six hypothetical health states using three different methods: a Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) and two variants of the Time trade-off (TTO). Analyses included a generalizability study, principal components analysis, and cluster analysis. Results. Valuation scores differed significantly, but not systematically, between valuation methods. A total of 36.8% of variance was explained by health states, 1.6% by the elicitation method, and 0.2% by age group. Individual differences in the use of the response scales (e.g. a tendency to give either high or low TTO scores, or a high or low scoring tendency on the VAS) were the main source of remaining variance. These response patterns were not related to age or other identifiable respondent characteristics. Conclusion. Individual response patterns in this study were more important determinants of TTO or VAS valuations of health states than age or other respondent characteristics measured. Further valuation research should focus on explaining individual response patterns as a possible key to understanding the determinants of health state valuations.

Modelling a population with Barrett's oesophagus from oesophageal adenocarcinoma incidence data (Article)

2007-02-28T00:00:00Z

Objective. A recent study of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus (ACO) incidence rates in Denmark showed a steep fall in the over-80 population, interpreted as the result of a decline in the prevalence of Barrett's oesophagus (BO) in this age group, for which three hypotheses were advanced: the specific mortality from ACO and, superimposed, either excess mortality from causes of death unrelated to ACO or a birth cohort effect. The aim of this study was to create models estimating the BO population fitting each of these three hypotheses, in order to select the most plausible hypothesis and to gain insight into the Danish BO population. Material and methods. Models were designed for these three hypotheses, conforming to the generally accepted 0.4-0.5% annual ACO incidence in BO patients. These models employed expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms, Danish life tables and the observed ACO incidence rates. The models enabled the estimation of a BO population for each hypothesis. Results. After testing against set criteria, the most plausible model was found to be that describing a birth cohort effect which predicted a ±5% annual rise in the prevalence of BO and, consequently, in the incidence rate of ACO in Denmark. This prediction was borne out over the subsequent decade. Conclusions. This rising ACO incidence rate is likely to continue into the foreseeable future. The use of EM algorithms enabled a first estimate of the BO population at risk of ACO, although, owing to the limitations imposed by the models, the age- and gender-specific ACO risk for the entire Danish BO population could not as yet be ascertained.

Individual differences in the use of the response scale determine valuations of hypothetical health states: an empirical study (Article)

2007-01-01T00:00:00Z

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: The literature remains inconclusive about the effects of socio-demographic characteristics of the respondent, including age, on valuation scores of hypothetical health states. We analyzed data from a study designed to discriminate between the effects of respondents age and time preference on valuations of health states to get insight in the contribution of individual response patterns to the variance in valuation scores. METHODS: 212 respondents from different age groups valued six hypothetical health states with three methods: a Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) and two variants of the Time trade-off (TTO). Analyses included a generalizability study, principal components analysis and cluster analysis. RESULTS: Valuation scores differed significantly but not systematically between valuation methods. A total of 36.8% of variance was explained by health states, 1.6% by elicitation method and 0.2% by age group. Individual differences in the use of the response scales, e.g. a tendency to give either high or low TTO-scores, or a high or low scoring tendency on the VAS were the main source of remaining variance. These response patterns were not related to age or other identifiable respondent characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that individual response patterns were more important determinants of TTO or VAS valuations of health states than age or other measured respondent characteristics. Further valuation research should focus on explaining individual response patterns as a possible key to understanding the determinants of health state valuations.

Functional outcome at 2.5, 5, 9, and 24 months after injury in the Netherlands (Article)

2007-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: The collection of empirical data on the frequency, severity, and duration of functioning is a prerequisite to identify patient groups with long term or permanent disability. METHODS: We fielded postal questionnaires in a stratified sample of 8,564 injury patients aged 15 years and older, who had visited an emergency department in the Netherlands. Measurements were at 2.5, 5, 9, and 24 months after the injury and included a generic health status classification (EQ-5D), socio-demographic, and medical information. We analyzed determinants of long-term functional outcome by multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: Five months after the injury health status of nonhospitalized injury patients was comparable to the general population's health (EQ-5D summary measure 0.87). Health status of patients admitted for 3 days or less improved until 9 months (0.82). For those admitted more than 3 days health status improved until 24 months (0.48 toward 0.67), but remained below population norms. Hospitalization, age and sex (females), type of injury (spinal cord injury, hip fracture, and lower extremity injury), and comorbidity were significant predictors of poor functioning in the long term. CONCLUSIONS: Recovery patterns vary widely between nonhospitalized, shortly, and long hospitalized injury patients. Nonhospitalized injury patients recover within 5 months from an injury whereas a considerable group of hospitalized injury patients suffer from persistent health problems. Our study indicates the importance of health monitoring with an adapted longitudinal design for injury patients. The time intervals used should match the various stages of the recovery process, which depends on the severity of the injury studied.

Update of predictions of mortality from pleural mesothelioma in the Netherlands (Article)

2003-01-01T00:00:00Z

AIMS: To predict the expected number of pleural mesothelioma deaths in the Netherlands from 2000 to 2028 and to study the effect of main uncertainties in the modelling technique. METHODS: Through an age-period-cohort modelling technique, age specific mortality rates and cohort relative risks by year of birth were calculated from the mortality of pleural mesothelioma in 1969-98. Numbers of death for both sexes were predicted for 2000 to 2028, taking into account the most likely demographic development. In a sensitivity analysis the relative deviation of the future death toll and peak death number were studied under different birth cohort risk assumptions. RESULTS: The age-cohort model on mortality 1969-98 among men showed the highest age specific death rates in the oldest age group (79 per 100 000 person-years in the age group 80-84 years) and the highest relative risks for the birth cohorts of 1938-42 and 1943-47. Among men a small period effect was observed. The age-cohort model was considered the best model for predicting future mortality. The most plausible scenario predicts an increase in pleural mesothelioma mortality up to 490 cases per year in men, with a total death toll close to 12 400 cases during 2000-28. However, using different assumptions this death toll could rise to nearly 15 000 in men (20% increase). Mortality among women remains low, with a total death toll of about 800 cases. It is predicted that the total death toll in the period 2000-28 is 44% lower than previous predictions using mortality data from 1969 to 1993. CONCLUSION: Adding five recent years of observed mortality in an age-cohort model resulted in a 44% lower prediction of the future death toll of pleural mesothelioma. A statistically significant period effect was observed, possibly influenced by initial asbestos safety guidelines in the 1970s and introduction of the ICD-10 codification.

Self-assessed health and mortality: could psychosocial factors explain the association? (Article)

2002-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: The single-item question of self-assessed health has consistently been reported to be associated with mortality, even after controlling for a wide range of health measurements and known risk factors for mortality. It has been suggested that this association is due to psychosocial factors which are both related to self-assessed health and to mortality. We tested this hypothesis. METHODS: The study was carried out in a subsample (n = 5667) of the GLOBE-population, a prospective cohort study conducted in the southeastern part of the Netherlands. Data on self-assessed health, sociodemographic variables, various aspects of health status, behavioural risk factors, and a number of psychosocial factors (social support, psychosocial stressors, personality traits, and coping styles) were collected by postal survey and structured interview in 1991, and mortality data were collected between 1991 and 1998. Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to calculate the association between self-assessed health and mortality, before and after controlling for the psychosocial variables. RESULTS: After controlling for sociodemographic variables, various aspects of health status, and behavioural risk factors, self-assessed health is still strongly associated with mortality in our dataset (Relative Risk [RR] of dying for 'poor' versus 'very good' self-assessed health = 3.98; 95% CI: 1.65-9.61). After controlling for the same set of confounders, many of the psychosocial variables are statistically significantly associated with a 'less-than-good' self-assessed health, particularly instrumental social support, long-lasting difficulties, neuroticism, and locus of control. However, only 'disclosure of emotions'-coping style has a statistically significant relationship with mortality. Adding the psychosocial variables to a model already containing self-assessed health does not attenuate the association between self-assessed health and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: We did not find indications that the association between self-assessed health and mortality is due to the psychosocial factors included in this analysis. It seems likely that the unexplained mortality effects of self-assessed health are due to the fact that self-assessed health is a very inclusive measure of health reflecting health aspects relevant to survival which are not covered by other health indicators.

Determinants of levels and changes of physical functioning in chronically ill persons: results from the GLOBE Study (Article)

2001-01-01T00:00:00Z

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Declines in physical functioning are a common result of chronic illness, but relatively little is known about factors not directly related to severity of disease that influence the occurrence of disability among chronically ill persons. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of a large number of potential determinants (sociodemographic factors, health related behaviour, structural living conditions, and psychosocial factors). DESIGN: Longitudinal study of levels and changes of physical functioning among persons suffering from four chronic diseases (asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), heart disease, diabetes, chronic low back pain). In 1991, persons suffering from one or more of these diseases were identified in a general population survey. Self reported disabilities, using a subset of the OECD disability indicator, were measured six times between 1991 and 1997. These data were analysed using generalised estimating equations, relating determinants measured in 1991 to disability between 1991 and 1997, and controlling for a number of potential confounders (age, gender, year of measurement, and type and severity of chronic disease). SETTING: Region of Eindhoven (south eastern Netherlands). PARTICIPANTS: 1784 persons with asthma/COPD, heart disease, diabetes mellitus and/or low back pain. MAIN RESULTS: In a "repeated prevalence" model, statistically significant (p<0.05) and strong associations were found between most of the determinants and the prevalence of disabilities. In a "longitudinal change" model, statistically significant (p<0.05) predictors of unfavourable changes in physical functioning were low income and excessive alcohol consumption, while we also found indications for effects of marital status, degree of urbanisation, smoking, and external locus of control. CONCLUSIONS: Other factors than characteristics of the underlying disease have an important influence on levels and changes of physical functioning among chronically ill persons. Reduction of the prevalence of disabilities in the population not only depends on medical interventions, but may also require social interventions, health education, and psychological interventions among chronically ill persons.

Factors that determine the effectiveness of screening for congenital heart malformations at child health centres (Article)

2000-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: The actual yield from current screening for clinically significant congenital heart malformations in Dutch child health care is far from optimal. In this study factors that determine the effectiveness of this screening are identified and recommendations for the optimization of the screening programme are formulated. METHODS: Eighty-two patients with a clinically significant congenital heart malformation were consecutively included in this study. Parents and child health centre physicians were interviewed in order to establish the screening, detection and referral history. Paediatric cardiologists established whether these patients were diagnosed 'in time' or 'too late'. RESULTS: Incomplete performance of the screening examination has more influence on the occurrence of delayed diagnoses than failure by parents to adhere to the complete visit schedule. Adequate screening advances detection of congenital heart malformations. Severity, however, is the most predominant determinant of the age at referral and diagnosis, as well as of the risk of complications. In only 7 out of 39 patients diagnosed 'too late', could no avoidable cause for an adverse outcome be found. In 10 cases (25%) there was a prolonged interval between first referral and diagnosis. CONCLUSION: To optimize the yield of the screening programme, improvement in the performance of the child health centre physicians and the co-operation of other physicians involved in reducing the interval between referral and diagnosis are required. Thus a considerable improvement in the prevention of complications of congenital heart malformations can be obtained.

Smoking and the compression of morbidity (Article)

2000-01-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether eliminating smoking will lead to a reduction in the number of years lived with disability (that is, absolute compression of morbidity). DESIGN: Multistate life table calculations based on the longitudinal GLOBE study (the Netherlands) combined with the Longitudinal Study of Aging (LSOA, United States of America). SETTING: the Netherlands. SUBJECTS: Dutch nationals aged 30-74 years living in the city of Eindhoven and surrounding municipalities (GLOBE) and United States citizens age 70 and over (LSOA). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Life expectancy with and without disability and total life expectancy at ages 30 and 70. RESULTS: A non-smoking population on balance spends fewer years with disability than a mixed smoking-non-smoking population. Although non-smokers have lower mortality risks and thus are exposed to disability over a longer period of time, their lower incidence of disability and higher recovery from disability yield a net reduction of the length of time spent with disability (at age 30: -0.9 years in men and -1.1 years in women) and increases the length of time lived without disability (2.5 and 1.9 years, for men and women, respectively). These outcomes indicate that elimination of smoking will extend life and the period of disability free life, and will compress disability into a shorter period. CONCLUSIONS: Eliminating smoking will not only extend life and result in an increase in the number of years lived without disability, but will also compress disability into a shorter period. This implies that the commonly found trade off between longer life and a longer period with disability does not apply. Interventions to discourage smoking should receive high priority

Determinants of infant and early childhood mortality levels and their decline in the Netherlands in the late nineteenth century (Article)

2000-01-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVE: To study the relative importance of various determinants of total and cause-specific infant and early childhood mortality rates and their decline in The Netherlands in the period 1875-1879 to 1895-1899. DATA AND METHODS: Mortality and population data were derived from Statistics Netherlands for 16 towns and 11 rural areas. Mortality levels and their decline were estimated with a Poisson regression model. The associations of the estimated levels and declines, and determinants of infant and early childhood mortality were analysed using multivariate linear regression analysis. The causes of death studied were major contributors to infant mortality (convulsions, acute digestive disease, acute respiratory disease) and early childhood mortality (encephalitis/meningitis, acute respiratory disease, measles). RESULTS: Infant mortality rates were high in the south-western part of The Netherlands in 1875-1879. Due to a rapid decline in the western regions, this pattern changed to a north-south gradient in 1895-1899. Early childhood mortality showed an urban-rural gradient in 1875-1879 with mortality high in towns. This gradient had largely disappeared by 1895-1899, due to a rapid decline in mortality in towns. Roman Catholicism was significantly associated with infant mortality (particularly from diarrhoeal disease) in 1875-1879 and 1895-1899. The association with Roman Catholicism was stronger in 1895-1899 because mortality declines were less rapid in Roman Catholic areas in 1875-1879 to 1895-1899. Urbanization was significantly associated with early childhood mortality (particularly from respiratory disease) in 1875-1879 and 1895-1899. This association weakened over time, due to the rapid decline in mortality in towns. CONCLUSIONS: Different determinants of mortality (decline) were important in infant and early childhood mortality and they acted on different causes of death. Therefore, infant and childhood mortality should be studied separately. International comparison of the results showed that findings with respect to determinants of mortality (decline) for one country do not necessarily apply to other countries. The results for The Netherlands with respect to infant mortality differed from England and Wales.

Role of childhood health in the explanation of socioeconomic inequalities in early adult health (Article)

1998-01-01T00:00:00Z

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To examine the contribution of childhood health to the explanation of socioeconomic inequalities in health in early adult life. DESIGN: Retrospective data were used, which were obtained from a postal survey in the baseline of a prospective cohort study (the Longitudinal Study on Socio-Economic Health Differences in the Netherlands). Adult socioeconomic status was indicated by educational level, while health was indicated by perceived general health. Childhood health was measured by self reported periods of severe disease in childhood. Relations were analysed using logistic regression models. The reduction in odds ratios of "less than good" perceived general health for different educational groups after adjustment for childhood health was used to estimate the contribution of childhood health. SETTING: The population of the city of Eindhoven and surroundings in the south east of the Netherlands in 1991. PARTICIPANTS: 2511 respondents, aged 25-34 years, men and women, of Dutch nationality, were included in the analysis. MAIN RESULTS: There was a clear association between childhood health and adult health, as well as an association between childhood health and adult socioeconomic status. Approximately 5% to 10% of the increased risk of the lower socioeconomic groups of having a "less than good" perceived general health can be explained by childhood health. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood health contributes to the explanation of socioeconomic inequalities in early adult health. Although this contribution is not very large, it cannot be ignored and has to be interpreted largely in terms of selection on health.

Does childhood socioeconomic status influence adult health through behavioural factors? (Article)

1998-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study is to assess to what extent the effect of childhood socioeconomic status on adult health could be explained by a higher prevalence of unhealthy behaviour among those with lower childhood socioeconomic status. METHODS: Data were obtained from the baseline of a prospective cohort study in the Netherlands (13 854 respondents, aged between 25 and 74). Childhood socioeconomic group was indicated by occupation of the father, and adult health was indicated by perceived general health, health complaints and mortality. Adult socioeconomic status was measured by current occupation. Behavioural factors were smoking, alcohol consumption, Body Mass Index and physical activity. Relations were analysed using logistic regression models. RESULTS: A clear association between childhood socioeconomic circumstances and adult health was shown, as well as an association between childhood socioeconomic circumstances and health-related behaviour, even after adjustment for current socioeconomic status. Physical activity shows the strongest relation with childhood socioeconomic circumstances. Behavioural factors explain the relation between childhood socioeconomic status and adult health for approximately 10%. CONCLUSIONS: Childhood socioeconomic circumstances have an independent effect on adult health and health-related behaviour: the risk of health problems and health damaging behaviour is higher in lower childhood socioeconomic groups. The independent effect of childhood circumstances on adult health operates for a small part through unhealthy behaviour.

Mortality due to unintentional injuries in The Netherlands, 1950-1995 (Article)

1998-01-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVE: To detect and explain changing trends in incidence, case fatality rates, and mortality for unintentional injuries in the Netherlands for the years 1950 through 1995. METHODS: Using national registry data, the authors analyzed trends in traffic injuries, occupational injuries, and home and leisure injuries. RESULTS: Between 1950 and 1970, mortality from unintentional injuries rose, reflecting an increasing incidence of injuries. This was followed by a sharp decline in mortality due to a decreasing incidence combined with a rapidly falling case fatality rate. Starting in the second half of the 1980s, the decline in mortality leveled off as the incidence of several injury subclasses once again rose. The observed trends reflect several background factors, including economic fluctuations (influencing exposure), preventive measures (reducing injury risk and injury severity), and improvements in trauma care (lowering the severity-adjusted case fatality rate). CONCLUSIONS: Injury mortality can be reduced through measures that lower injury risk, injury severity, or severity-adjusted case fatality rates. Beginning in the mid-1980s, such compensatory mechanisms have fallen short in the Netherlands. New policies are needed despite the impressive reductions in mortality already reached.

Screening for congenital heart malformation in child health centres (Article)

1998-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: Although screening for congenital heart malformations is part of the child health care programme in several countries, there are very few published evaluations of these activities. This report is concerned with the evaluation of this screening at the Dutch Child Health Centres (CHC). METHODS: All consecutive patients, aged between 32 days and 4 years, presented at the Sophia Children's Hospital Rotterdam throughout a period of 2 years, with a congenital heart malformation were included in this study. Paediatric cardiologists established whether or not these patients were diagnosed after haemodynamic complications had already developed (diagnosed 'too late'). Parents and CHC-physicians were interviewed in order to establish the screening and detection history. Test properties were established for all patients with a congenital heart malformation (n = 290), intended effects of screening were established in patients with clinically significant malformations (n = 82). RESULTS: The sensitivity of the actual screening programme was 0.57 (95% CI : 0.51-0.62), the specificity 0.985 (95% CI : 0.981-0.990) and the predictive value of a positive test result 0.13 (95% CI: 0.10-0.19). Sensitivity in a subpopulation of patients adequately screened was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.74-0.96). Adequately screened patients were less likely to be diagnosed 'too late' than inadequately screened patients (odds ratio [OR] = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.04-1.05). The actual risk of being diagnosed 'too late' in the study-population (48%) was only slightly less than the estimated risk for patients not exposed to CHC-screening (58%, 95% CI: 43%-72%). Adequately screened patients however were at considerably less risk (17%, 95% CI: 4%-48%). CONCLUSION: Screening for congenital heart malformations in CHC contributes to the timely detection of these disorders. The actual yield, however, is far from optimal, and the screening programme should be improved.

Cause-specific mortality trends in The Netherlands, 1875-1992: a formal analysis of the epidemiologic transition (Article)

1997-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study is to produce a detailed yet robust description of the epidemiologic transition in The Netherlands. METHODS: National mortality data on sex, age, cause of death and calendar year (1875-1992) were extracted from official publications. For the entire period, 27 causes of death could be distinguished, while 65 causes (nested within the 27) could be studied from 1901 onwards. Cluster analysis was used to determine groups of causes of death with similar trend curves over a period of time with respect to age- and sex-standardized mortality rates. RESULTS: With respect to the 27 causes, three important clusters were found: (1) infectious diseases which declined rapidly in the late 19th century (e.g. typhoid fever), (2) infectious diseases which showed a less precipitous decline (e.g. respiratory tuberculosis), and (3) non-infectious diseases which showed an increasing trend during most of the period 1875-1992 (e.g. cancer). The 65 causes provided more detail. Seven important clusters were found: four consisted mainly of infectious diseases, including a new cluster that declined rapidly after the Second World War (WW2) (e.g. acute bronchitis/influenza) and a new cluster showing an increasing trend in the 1920s and 1930s before declining in the years thereafter (e.g. appendicitis). Three clusters mainly contained non-infectious diseases, including a new one that declined from 1900 onwards (e.g. cancer of the stomach) and a new one that increased until WW2 but declined thereafter (e.g. chronic rheumatic heart disease). CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the conventional interpretation of the epidemiologic transition, which assumes a uniform decline of infectious diseases and a uniform increase of non-infectious diseases, needs to be modified.

Differences in the misreporting of chronic conditions, by level of education: the effect on inequalities in prevalence rates (Article)

1996-01-01T00:00:00Z

OBJECTIVES: Many studies of socio-economic inequalities in the prevalence of chronic conditions rely on self-reports. For chronic nonspecific lung disease, heart disease, and diabetes mellitus, we studied the effects of misreporting on variations in prevalence rates by respondents' level of education. METHODS: In 1991, a health interview survey was conducted in the southeastern Netherlands with 2867 respondents. Respondents' answers were compared with validated diagnostic questionnaires in the same survey and the diagnoses given by the respondents' general practitioners. RESULTS: Misreporting of chronic lung disease, heart disease, and diabetes may be extensive. Depending on the condition and the reference data used, the confirmation fractions ranged between .61 and .96 and the detection fractions between .13 and .93. Misreporting varied by level of education, and although various patterns were observed, the dominant pattern was that of more underreporting among less educated persons. The effects on prevalence rates were to underestimate differences by level of education to a sometimes considerable degree. CONCLUSIONS: Misreporting of chronic conditions differs by respondents' level of education. Health interview survey data underestimate socioeconomic inequalities in the prevalence of chronic conditions.