Majer, I.M.

health expectancy model mortality life expectancy transition disability population parameter estimate study distribution leprosy transition rates women prevalence future trend probability forecasting country forecast netherland increase mortality rates nondisabled health expectancy table contact statistics netherlands level statistic number uncertainty compression method disability-free life expectancy value transition probabilities result analysis incidence ratio hazard ratio lee-carter model difference majer survey change intervention bmi distribution lee –carter model treatment status prediction interval patient obesity period health expectancies prediction intervals state measure chemoprophylaxi morbidity multistate hazard lee-carter series effect modeling journal program projection life years people group leprosy patients forecasting health expectancy mortality rate