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  <channel>
    <title>Osborn, D.R.</title>
    <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/aut/399/</link>
    <description>List of Publications</description>
    <language>en</language>
    <image>
      <url>http://repub.eur.nl/static-eur/img/logo.png</url>
      <title>RePub, Erasmus University Rotterdam</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl</link>
    </image>
    <item>
      <title>Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks (Article)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/11131/</link>
      <pubDate>2005-11-01T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>Causality-in-variance tests suffer from severe size distortions in the presence of structural breaks in volatility, when such breaks are not taken into account. Pre-testing the series for structural changes in volatility largely remedies the problem.</description>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Testing for causality in variance in the presence of breaks (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/1801/</link>
      <pubDate>2004-11-05T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>We examine the size properties of tests for causality in variance in the
presence of structural breaks in volatility. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations
demonstrate that these tests suffer from severe size distortions when such
breaks are not taken into account. Pre-testing the series for structural
changes in volatility is shown to largely remedy the problem.</description>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Changes in variability of the business cycle in the G7 countries (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/551/</link>
      <pubDate>2002-09-19T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>Volatility breaks are tested and documented for 19 important monthly
macroeconomic time series across the G7 countries. Across all conditional mean
specifications considered, including both linear and nonlinear models with and
without a structural break, volatility breaks are found to be widespread. This
continues to hold when business cycle nonlinearities are allowed in the
variance. Multiple volatility breaks are also examined, and these are found to
be especially prevalent for short-term interest rates. Volatility breaks in
industrial production and consumer prices are largely synchronous across the
G7. The facts established are discussed in the context of some explanations
put forward in the literature to explain volatility breaks previously found
for US series.</description>
    </item>
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