Kuip, D.A. van der

Predictive value of noninvasive measures of atherosclerosis for incident myocardial infarction: the Rotterdam Study. (Article)

2004-03-09T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: Several noninvasive methods are available to investigate the severity of extracoronary atherosclerotic disease. No population-based study has yet examined whether differences exist between these measures with regard to their predictive value for myocardial infarction (MI) or whether a given measure of atherosclerosis has predictive value independently of the other measures. METHODS AND RESULTS: At the baseline (1990-1993) examination of the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study among subjects age > or =55 years, carotid plaques and intima-media thickness (IMT) were measured by ultrasound, abdominal aortic atherosclerosis by x-ray, and lower-extremity atherosclerosis by computation of the ankle-arm index. In the present study, 6389 subjects were included; 258 cases of incident MI occurred before January 1, 2000. All 4 measures of atherosclerosis were good predictors of MI independently of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Hazard ratios were equally high for carotid plaques (1.83 [1.27 to 2.62], severe versus no atherosclerosis), carotid IMT (1.95 [1.19 to 3.19]), and aortic atherosclerosis (1.94 [1.30 to 2.90]) and slightly lower for lower-extremity atherosclerosis (1.59 [1.05 to 2.39]), although differences were small. The hazard ratio for MI for subjects with severe atherosclerosis according to a composite atherosclerosis score was 2.77 (1.70 to 4.52) compared with subjects with no atherosclerosis. The predictive value of MI for a given measure of atherosclerosis was independent of the other atherosclerosis measures. CONCLUSIONS: Noninvasive measures of extracoronary atherosclerosis are strong predictors of MI. The relatively crude measures directly assessing plaques in the carotid artery and abdominal aorta predict MI equally well as the more precisely measured carotid IMT.

Spatial QRS-T angle predicts cardiac death in a general population (Article)

2003-01-01T00:00:00Z

AIMS: The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic importance of the spatial QRS-T angle for fatal and non-fatal cardiac events. METHODS AND RESULTS: Electrocardiograms (ECGs) were recorded in 6134 men and women aged 55 years and over from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study. Spatial QRS-T angles were categorized as normal, borderline or abnormal. Using Cox's proportional hazards model, abnormal angles showed increased hazard ratios of cardiac death (age-and sex-adjusted hazard ratio 5.2 (95% CI 4.0-6.8)), non-fatal cardiac events (2.2 (1.5-3.1)), sudden death (5.6 (3.7-8.5)) and total mortality (2.3 (2.0-2.7)). None of the classical cardiovascular and ECG predictors provided larger hazard ratios. After adjustment for these predictors, the association of abnormal spatial QRS-T angles with all fatal study endpoints remained strong, but the association with non-fatal cardiac events disappeared. Computation of Akaike's information criterion showed that the angle contributed significantly to the prediction of all fatal endpoints by classical cardiovascular and ECG predictors. CONCLUSION: The spatial QRS-T angle is a strong and independent predictor of cardiac mortality in the elderly. It is stronger than any of the classical cardiovascular risk factors and ECG risk indicators and provides additional value to them in predicting fatal cardiac events.

C-reactive protein predicts progression of atherosclerosis measured at various sites in the arterial tree: the Rotterdam Study (Article)

2002-01-01T00:00:00Z

Background and Purpose- C-reactive protein (CRP) predicts myocardial infarction and stroke. Its role as a predictor of the progression of subclinical atherosclerosis is not yet known. We investigated whether CRP predicts progression of atherosclerosis measured at various sites in the arterial tree. METHODS: CRP levels were measured in a random sample of 773 subjects >/=55 years of age who were participating in the Rotterdam Study. Subclinical atherosclerosis was assessed at various sites at 2 points in time, with a mean duration between measurements of 6.5 years. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, sex, and smoking habits, odds ratios (ORs) associated with CRP levels in the highest compared with the lowest quartile were increased for progression of carotid (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.3), aortic (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.0 to 3.0), iliac (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.3), and lower extremity (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.0 to 3.7) atherosclerosis. The OR for generalized progression of atherosclerosis as indicated by a composite progression score was 4.5 (95% CI, 2.3 to 8.5). Except for aortic atherosclerosis, these estimates hardly changed after additional adjustment for multiple cardiovascular risk factors. In addition, ORs for progression of atherosclerosis associated with high CRP levels were as high as those associated with the traditional cardiovascular risk factors high cholesterol, hypertension, and smoking. Geometric mean levels of CRP increased with the total number of sites showing progression of atherosclerosis (P=0.002 for trend). CONCLUSIONS: CRP predicts progression of atherosclerosis measured at various sites in the arterial tree.

Stroke is associated with coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT: the Rotterdam Coronary Calcification Study (Article)

2002-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT measures the atherosclerotic plaque burden and has been reported to predict coronary events. Because atherosclerosis is a generalized process, coronary calcification may also be associated with manifest atherosclerotic disease at other sites of the vascular tree. We examined whether coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT is related to the presence of stroke. METHODS: From 1997 onward, subjects were invited to participate in the prospective Rotterdam Coronary Calcification Study and undergo electron-beam CT to detect coronary calcification. The study was embedded in the population-based Rotterdam Study. Calcifications were quantified in a calcium score according to Agatston's method. Calcium scores were available for 2013 subjects (mean age [SD], 71 [5.7] years). Fifty subjects had experienced stroke before scanning. RESULTS: Subjects were 2 times more likely to have experienced stroke when their calcium score was between 101 and 500 (odds ratio [OR], 2.1; 95% CI, 0.9 to 4.7) and 3 times more likely when their calcium score was above 500 (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.5 to 7.2), compared with subjects in the lowest calcium score category (0 to 100). Additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors did not materially alter the risk estimates. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study, a markedly graded association was found between coronary calcification and stroke. The results suggest that coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT may be useful to identify subjects at high risk of stroke.

Inverse association of tea and flavonoid intakes with incident myocardial infarction: the Rotterdam Study (Article)

2002-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND: Dietary flavonoids may protect against cardiovascular disease, but evidence is still conflicting. Tea is the major source of flavonoids in Western populations. OBJECTIVE: The association of tea and flavonoid intake with incident myocardial infarction was examined in the general Dutch population. DESIGN: A longitudinal analysis was performed with the use of data from the Rotterdam Study-a population-based study of men and women aged >or=55 y. Diet was assessed at baseline (1990-1993) with a validated semiquantitative food-frequency questionnaire. The analysis included 4807 subjects with no history of myocardial infarction, who were followed until 31 December 1997. Data were analyzed in a Cox regression model, with adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, pack-years of cigarette smoking, education level, and daily intakes of alcohol, coffee, polyunsaturated fat, saturated fat, fiber, vitamin E, and total energy. RESULTS: During 5.6 y of follow-up, a total of 146 first myocardial infarctions occurred, 30 of which were fatal. The relative risk (RR) of incident myocardial infarction was lower in tea drinkers with a daily intake >375 mL (RR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.33, 0.98) than in nontea drinkers. The inverse association with tea drinking was stronger for fatal events (0.30; 0.09, 0.94) than for nonfatal events (0.68; 0.37, 1.26). The intake of dietary flavonoids (quercetin + kaempferol + myricetin) was significantly inversely associated only with fatal myocardial infarction (0.35; 0.13, 0.98) in upper compared with lower tertiles of intake. CONCLUSIONS: An increased intake of tea and flavonoids may contribute to the primary prevention of ischemic heart disease.

Coronary calcification detected by electron-beam computed tomography and myocardial infarction. The Rotterdam Coronary Calcification Study (Article)

2002-01-01T00:00:00Z

AIMS: Available data are insufficient to determine the relation between coronary calcification and coronary events in the general population. We cross-sectionally examined the association between coronary calcification and myocardial infarction in the prospective Rotterdam Coronary Calcification Study. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 1997 onwards, subjects were invited for electron-beam computed tomography scanning to detect coronary calcification. The study was embedded in the population-based Rotterdam Study. Calcifications were quantified in a calcium score according to Agatston's method. Calcium scores were available for 2,013 participants with a mean age of 71 years (standard deviation, 5.7 years). A history of myocardial infarction prior to scanning was present in 229 subjects. Compared to subjects in the lowest calcium score category (0-100), the age-adjusted odds ratio for myocardial infarction in subjects in the highest calcium score category (above 2,000) was 7.7 (95% confidence interval, 4.1-14.5) for men, and 6.7 (95% confidence interval, 2.4-19.1) for women. Additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors only slightly altered the estimates. The association was observed across all age subgroups, i.e. also in subjects of 70 years and older. CONCLUSION: A strong and graded association was found between coronary calcification and myocardial infarction. The association remained at high ages.

Association between arterial stiffness and atherosclerosis: the Rotterdam Study (Article)

2001-01-01T00:00:00Z

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Studies of the association between arterial stiffness and atherosclerosis are contradictory. We studied stiffness of the aorta and the common carotid artery in relation to several indicators of atherosclerosis. METHODS: This study was conducted within the Rotterdam Study in >3000 elderly subjects aged 60 to 101 years. Aortic stiffness was assessed by measuring carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, and common carotid artery stiffness was assessed by measuring common carotid distensibility. Atherosclerosis was assessed by common carotid intima-media thickness, plaques in the carotid artery and in the aorta, and the presence of peripheral arterial disease. Data were analyzed by ANCOVA with adjustment for age, sex, mean arterial pressure, and heart rate. RESULTS: Both aortic and common carotid artery stiffness were found to have a strong positive association with common carotid intima-media thickness, severity of plaques in the carotid artery, and severity of plaques in the aorta (P: for trend <0.01 for all associations). Subjects with peripheral arterial disease had significantly increased aortic stiffness (P:=0.001) and borderline significantly increased common carotid artery stiffness (P:=0.08) compared with subjects without peripheral arterial disease. Results were similar after additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and after exclusion of subjects with prevalent cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based study shows that arterial stiffness is strongly associated with atherosclerosis at various sites in the vascular tree.

Arterial stiffness as underlying mechanism of disagreement between an oscillometric blood pressure monitor and a sphygmomanometer (Article)

2000-01-01T00:00:00Z

Oscillometric blood pressure devices tend to overestimate systolic blood pressure and underestimate diastolic blood pressure compared with sphygmomanometers. Recent studies indicate that discrepancies in performance between these devices may differ between healthy and diabetic subjects. Arterial stiffness in diabetics could be the underlying factor explaining these differences. We studied differences between a Dinamap oscillometric blood pressure monitor and a random-zero sphygmomanometer in relation to arterial stiffness in 1808 healthy elderly subjects. The study was conducted within the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study of subjects aged 55 years and older. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure differences between a Dinamap and a random-zero sphygmomanometer were related to arterial stiffness, as measured by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity. Increased arterial stiffness was associated with higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure readings by the Dinamap compared with the random-zero sphygmomanometer, independent of age, gender, and average mean blood pressure level of both devices. The beta-coefficient (95% CI) was 0.25 (0.00 to 0.50) mm Hg/(m/s) for the systolic blood pressure difference and 0.35 (0.20 to 0.50) mm Hg/(m/s) for the diastolic blood pressure difference. The results indicate that a Dinamap oscillometric blood pressure device, in comparison to a random-zero sphygmomanometer, overestimates systolic and diastolic blood pressure readings in subjects with stiff arteries.