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    <title>ISS Working Papers - General Series</title>
    <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/col/9760/</link>
    <description>List of Publications</description>
    <language>en</language>
    <image>
      <url>http://repub.eur.nl/static-eur/img/logo.png</url>
      <title>RePub, Erasmus University Rotterdam</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl</link>
    </image>
    <item>
      <title>Critical learning episodes in the evolution of Brazilian business start-ups: a theoretical and analytical tool (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/40110/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-05-17T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This study investigates critical learning episodes as landmarks in the evolution of business start-ups. A framework that combines individual learning processes with the Penrosian resource-based theory of the firm, and the concepts of search and routines from evolutionary economics provides the theoretical ground on which this study is developed. Multilevel factors, ranging from entrepreneurial agency to the institutional setting of business development services, represent different levels of analysis. These levels are connected through critical learning episodes, which are triggered by endogenous or exogenous factors and culminate in the creation of new or in the change of current organizational routines. These episodes were narrated by 43 entrepreneurs-founders through semi-structured interviews. Their business start-ups were operating for an average of 4 years (s.d.=1,9) and were linked to business incubation programmes in the two most resource-rich regions in Brazil. These start-ups were in three sectors: a) manufacturing, b) information and communication, and c) professional, scientific and technical activities. The analysis of these narratives combined qualitative (i.e., grounded theory principles) and quantitative (i.e., social networks analysis) techniques. This paper focusses on the most common type of critical learning episode: entry and survival in the market (n=36 start-ups). Results show how micro-processes of learning influence access and creation of resources at the firm level. A temporal analysis of networks configurations shows how processes of embeddedness in market relations influence intra- and inter-organizational dynamics. It is argued that critical learning episodes, for combining multiple factors and levels of analysis, are a useful theoretical and analytical tool to better understand the evolution of these businesses. In addition to this, issues of path-breaking and innovation are discussed in light of institutionalized practices of business development services.
      </description>
      <author>Corradi, A.A.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>The promise of transformation through participation: an analysis of Communal Councils in Caracas, Venezuela (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39829/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-04-24T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        Communal Councils (CCs) in Venezuela are deemed as part of a greater project of social transformation under a radical approach to participatory democracy. The Hugo Chavez’s administration endorsed the creation of thousands of allegedly self-governing CCs in every neighbourhood of every city or town in the country. The initial goal was to address people’s most urgent needs while including them in the decision-making process in their communities. The passing of President Chavez, a charismatic leader who was the driving force behind Chavismo and the Bolivarian Revolution, represents a challenge to the participatory process where CCs have been framed. Within this overall context, a radical approach to participation should lay the foundations of a State-led process of social transformation of the left. Based on this, the objectives of this paper are: on the one hand, to propose a set of indicators to study spaces of participation at the community level framed in a State-led process of social transformation; on the other, to show the viability of these indicators in the analysis of Communal Councils in the context of the Bolivarian Revolution in Venezuela. These indicators refer to the recognition of ‘the other’; autonomy from state institutions; mobilization of the community; and design and internal dynamics. In order to advance these objectives, this paper explores how participation in the CCs has been operationalized under the Bolivarian Revolution. Therefore, this research has empirically implemented the proposed indicators in six CCs of Caracas through semi-structure interviews with community leaders. The results suggest that the type of participation offered is one strongly conditioned by an ideological system which promises transformation but impedes this transformation in practice. I have called this situation a ‘conditioned participation’. 

      </description>
      <author>Triviño Salazar, J.C.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Locating food sovereignty: geographical and sectoral distance in the global food system (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39528/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-04-09T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This paper seeks to problematize the role of local food systems within the food sovereignty movement and as a counter to the logic of the global industrial food system. It answers the question of how food sovereignty, via its tenet of local food systems, addresses the geographical and sectoral distances in the global food system. In doing this, it utilizes an approach loosely based on Chayanovian thinking and analytical tools provided through food regime analysis, the theory of uneven geographical development and the metabolic rift.
The paper explores six forms of distance in the industrial food system – production from consumption, distant markets, peasants from their land, producers from consumers, the rural-urban divide and agriculture from nature. Then the paper situates local food systems within food sovereignty and food sovereignty within the wider transnational agrarian movements from which it emerged. Next the paper differentiates local food systems by scale, method and character. Finally, it illustrates how and to what extent food sovereignty counters these distances by evaluating the abilities and gaps of food sovereignty in relation to the various forms of distance.
      </description>
      <author>Robbins, M.J.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Revisiting gender mainstreaming in international development.Goodbye to an illusionary strategy

 (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39504/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-04-08T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        In contrast to the concrete problems women face worldwide, of discrimination in family and society, of violence and disrespect, of poverty and lack of rights, the policy of international development organisations to defeat these impediments has been abstract. Wrapped in the mystifying language of ‘gender mainstreaming’, development agencies pursue a strategy which itself has consumed all attention at the cost of tangible action to solve real problems. By going back to the time that the policy became solidly rooted, the mid 1990s, I document and compare evaluation studies and reviews of bilateral and multilateral donors, in particular those conducted since the turn of the century. Not one study reports positively about the gender mainstreaming policy. The essentials of the discourse of gender and development are not reflected in
practice, the policy has not moved beyond the stage of a theory. Evaluation studies have been pre-occupied with the strategy of mainstreaming itself, failing to address the results thereof for women and gender equality. This paper aims to support the discretely emerging voices to move away from the illusion of gender mainstreaming and to develop a policy that is oriented towards concrete issues and contains direct efforts to make gender equality happen.
      </description>
      <author>Brouwers, R.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Enrollment in community based health insurance schemes in rural Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, India (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39494/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-03-30T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This paper assesses insurance uptake in three community based health insurance (CBHI) schemes located in rural parts of two of India’s poorest states and offered through women’s self-help groups (SHGs). We examine what drives uptake, the degree of inclusive practices of the schemes, and the influence of health status on enrollment. The most important finding is that a household’s socio-economic status does not appear to substantially inhibit uptake. In some cases Scheduled Caste/ Scheduled Tribe (SC/ST) households are more likely to enroll. Second, households with greater financial liabilities find insurance more attractive. Third, access to the hospital insurance scheme (RSBY) does not dampen CBHI uptake, suggesting that the potential for greater development of insurance markets and products beyond existing ones would respond to a need. Fourth, recent episodes of illness and selfassessed health status do not influence uptake. Fifth, insurance coverage is prioritized within households, with the household head, the spouse of the household head and both male and female children of the household head, more likely to be insured as compared to other relatives. Sixth, offering insurance through women’s SHGs appears to mitigate concerns about the inclusiveness and sustainability of CBHI schemes. Given the pan-Indian spread of SHGs, offering insurance through such groups offers the potential to scale-up CBHI.
      </description>
      <author>Panda, P.</author> <author>Chakraborty, A.</author> <author>Dror, D.M.</author> <author>Bedi, A.S.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Natural disasters impact, factors of resilience and development: A meta-analysis of the macroeconomic literature (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39446/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-03-29T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        We systematize recent macroeconomic empirical literature on the direct and indirect impact of natural disasters providing a meta-analysis of 20 studies published during 2002-2013. We show that the disagreement between these studies is caused by the empirical design, the estimation technique and the resilience factors included in the analyses. The meta-regression suggests that studies that analyse indirect costs have a 88% higher probability to find a positive significant disaster impact than studies of direct costs. If the impact of the disaster is modelled through a disaster indicator, the likelihood of finding a negative and significant disaster impact increases by 64%.

      </description>
      <author>Lazzaroni, S.</author> <author>Bergeijk, P.A.G. van</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>One hundred years of solitude, accumulation and violence: A comparative historical analysis of the 
Sierra Nevada of Santa Marta Valley (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39199/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-03-18T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This is an analysis of two moments in the Colombian history within a century of difference, where isolation, accumulation and violence interact in a region brought into the worlds’ imaginary by the Colombian novelist Gabriel García Márquez in One Hundred years of Solitude. 
A valley between four natural borderlines: the Sierra Nevada of Santa Marta, the Perijá hills, the Central and East ‘Cordilleras’ -mountain range- and the Magdalena River in the departments of Cesar and Magdalena (Colombia) part of what was called the department of ‘Magdalena Grande’ was blessed – or perhaps coursed – with wealth in natural resources; plenty of water streams, a unique biodiversity, cultural affluence and immense reserves of one of the purest steam coals. 
This paper attempts to draw a picture of the superimposed and persistent power structures that apparently facilitate the accumulative processes and imbalances within one century of difference, making use of violence as means to maintain equilibrium. Environment is changed trough politicized violent inflictions over society and nature. The resultant scars are the ones inflicted on a collective memory, as this valley is and will always be recalled by the poetic truth of the narrative of Gabriel García Marquez who recreated this mythic environment as ‘Macondo’. He remembers his own story of early childhood that here serves as an excuse to analyze a region that is again being bled by accumulation.
      </description>
      <author>Bedoya Arias, M.E.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Male, migrant, muslim : Identities and entitlements of Afghans and Bengalis in a South Delhi neighbourhood (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/39089/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-02-28T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        In recent time Delhi has revealed its ambitions as a global city. The consequent need for cheap, casual, migrant labour for maintaining its world-scale ambitions has been highlighted in a lot of literature, particularly in the post Commonwealth Games (CWG) period. The migrant labourers in the informal economy of Delhi are seen as oppressed, particularly if they belong to a subordinated social group, like the Muslim male migrants. However, there is need to examine the homogenization implied by ‘Muslim male migrants’. This research aims to challenge the one-dimensional depiction of Muslim male migrants as ‘victims’. Analysing the narratives of two groups of Muslim migrant men in a South Delhi neighbourhood, this research tries to critically look at stable markers of identity such as ethnicity, gender and class. The research reveals identities as fluid, multiple and relational. The men emerge as complex subjects—not just passive ‘victims’ but capable of asserting agency, often through the strategic mobilisation of their multiple identities.
      </description>
      <author>Chakraborty, M.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Self-reported health care seeking behavior in rural Ethiopia: Evidence from clinical vignettes (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/38648/</link>
      <pubDate>2013-02-04T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        Between 2000 and 2011, Ethiopia rapidly expanded its health-care infrastructure recording an 18-fold increase in the number of health posts and a 7-fold increase in the number of health centers. However, annual per capita outpatient utilization has increased only marginally. The extent to which individuals forego necessary health care, especially why and who foregoes care are issues that have received little attention in the context of low-income countries. This paper uses five clinical vignettes covering a range of context-specific child and adult-related diseases to explore the health-seeking behavior of rural Ethiopian households. We find almost universal preference for modern care. There is a systematic relationship between socioeconomic status and choice of providers mainly for adult-related conditions with households in higher consumption quintiles more likely to seek care in health centers, private/NGO clinics as opposed to health posts. Similarly, delays in care-seeking behavior are apparent mainly for adult-related conditions. The differences in care seeking behavior between adult and child related conditions may be attributed to the recent spread of health posts which have focused on raising awareness of maternal and child health. Overall, the analysis suggests that the lack of health-care utilization is not driven by the inability to recognize health problems or due to a low perceived need for modern care but due to other factors.
      </description>
      <author>Mebratie, A.D.</author> <author>Van de Poel, E.</author> <author>Debebe, Z.Y.</author> <author>Abebaw, D.</author> <author>Alemu, G.</author> <author>Bedi, A.S.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Derivatives. Replication and (auto)plagiarism in the social sciences (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/37613/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-10-31T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This working paper reports on the travelling exhibition “Derivatives”. This exhibition investigates the issue of originality in the context of (self) plagiarism and replication. The different views in the Arts and the scientific discourse form the point of departure for discovering how ideas that are identical can still be completely different and new, but also that ‘original’ works of art can be repetitive reproduction.

      </description>
      <author>Tweehuysen, R.</author> <author>Haan, J. den</author> <author>Berkhout, K.</author> <author>Bergeijk, P.A.G. van</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Reconsidering economic sanctions reconsidered. A detailed analysis of the Peterson Institute sanction database (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/37224/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-09-12T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This paper analyses two vintages of the key resource for research on economic sanctions: the Peterson Institute database reported in Hufbauer et al. (2nd edition in 1990 and 3rd edition in 2007). The Peterson Institute has not reported transparently on these changes. 
We provide detailed tables in order to facilitate comparison between descriptive statistics and the findings of the two editions. One way to interpret our results is as are porting of the 2nd edition results corrected for changes in methodology and case selection.
Using descriptive statistics, ratio analysis, first-difference method and probit we investigate how case selection, (re)coding and new observations impacted on sanction characteristics and assumed effectiveness of economic sanctions.
About 17% of the common cases of the 2nd and 3rd edition is modified and changed to some extent. The number of goals assigned to these cases increased from 146 to 155. The average success score increases from 6.6 to 7.0 for the common cases. Indeed, the mean values for all categories of core variables for the common cases in the 3rd edition exceed those reported in the 2nd edition. A redefined index value of the ‘sanction contribution’ underlies these changes. The lowest value index is defined as zero or negative contribution in the in 2nd edition whereas is limited to negative contribution in the 3rd edition (upgrading all zero contributions by definition) Likewise ‘modest and significant contribution’ is used in the 3rd edition instead of ‘substantial and decisive contribution’, making it easier to get a high score. We provide a probit analysis that shows that the 3rd edition’s methodology in comparison to the methodology used in the 2nd edition is biased in favour of finding positive results for modest policy change, regime change and the use of sanctions to disrupt military adventures and to achieve military impairment. 
      </description>
      <author>Shahadat Hossain Siddiquee, M.</author> <author>Bergeijk, P.A.G. van</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Linking the poor to new modalities in service delivery. Partnership innovations in solid waste management in Bogotá, Colombia (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/37169/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-09-05T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        Waste picking has become a prominent activity in the urban landscape, bridging the gap between shortfalls in service delivery and personal income generation in virtually all cities of the developing world. Overcoming previous stigmatization and work fragmentation through organization and dialogue, social economy organizations constituted by waste pickers are emerging as valuable actors in the governance framework, partnering at times with the public and private sectors to fulfil public service provision while aiming to improve the livelihoods of the poor and overcome the institutional nature of poverty. Bogota’s Plan Maestro Integral de Residuos Solidos (PMIRS) serves as a case study to explore these new modalities in service delivery, and to delve into the theoretical dimensions and practical implications of fomenting the inclusion of informal waste pickers into integrated solid waste management systems.
      </description>
      <author>Turcotte, I.</author> <author>Gomez, G.M.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>The revenge of fiscal Maoism in China’s Tibet (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32995/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-07-25T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        In China, central government subsidies to the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR) – the archetypal case usually referred to as ‘Tibet’ – have surged to record-high levels, particularly following the widespread protests that occurred across all Tibetan areas in 2008. By 2010, direct budgetary subsidies surpassed one hundred percent of the TAR GDP for the first time ever, exceeding even the levels reached during the peaks of subsidization during the Maoist period and amounting to four times the average per capital rural household income in the TAR. Similarly, investment in fixed assets – most of it also probably subsidised – reached 91 percent of the TAR GDP in 2010. From this perspective and despite almost twenty years of intensive development efforts, the TAR remains locked into the institutional norms guiding the subsidisation of this politically sensitive autonomous region since the Maoist period. As a result, recent development strategies have not altered in any significant way the long-term trend of very intense and very inefficient subsidisation, with economic growth largely reflecting the intensification of subsidies. In particular, the recent phase of intensive subsidisation has completed two principal tasks first envisaged during the Maoist era. One is the state-led engineering of a deep integration of the region into China through externalized patterns of ownership and extreme economic dependence. The second is the consolidation of the very visible hand of the state in the structuring of most aspects of the economy, including the rural economies, albeit through a different mode of governmentality attuned to the current era of ‘market socialism’ rather than Maoist collectivisation. As a result, the economy of the TAR can be aptly described in structural terms as having become a peripheral subsidiary of the central government and related interests. Local development dynamics (and people) are increasingly captive to the discretion of these central interests, particularly in the context of their rapid transition away from their traditional bases of subsistence in the rural economy.

      </description>
      <author>Fischer, A.M.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Assessing decentralised policy implementation in Vietnam : The case of land recovery and resettlement in the Vung Ang Economic Zone (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32910/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-07-16T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        From 2006 plans were implemented to create a deep-sea water port linked to an Economic Zone in the coastal Province of Ha Tinh, located in north central Vietnam. The multi-purpose Zone entitled ‘Vung Ang’, was to attract foreign investors, while the port would provide a link to nearby Laos and Thailand. The project obviously had large implications for the administrations at various levels of governance from Hanoi to the coastal communes and villages, but even more serious impacts on the people living in the affected areas. A large area of about 23,000 hectares was to be cleared, affecting the people of 9 communes, in some of which all inhabitants had to leave their houses and homesteads, to be relocated to completely new settlements about 10 miles inland. These tightly knit communities were not too happy with the prospect to leave their homes and land, the burial places of their ancestors, and the long term comforts of community support networks. While initial decision making process started at the highest levels of Vietnam Governance, the implementation of port and industrial park construction and the related relocation policy was delegated to Ha Tinh province, which is consistent with current decentralisation policies in Vietnam. Actual implementation was carried out by the affected District and Commune level officials – with support from the Communist Party led Mass Organisations – who were in charge of the planning and implementation of the relocation process. This entailed a complex and sensitive series of steps to inform affected households, prepare relocation areas and allocate compensation and alternative housing. This paper describes the implementation dynamics of relocation by depicting and assessing the roles of all stakeholders involved, including the impacts - for better or for worse – of the relocated households. It brings out the way local authorities dealt with affected people, including efforts linked to the ideal of grass-roots democracy. Key areas of contestation are uncovered, such as inadequate infrastructure and low compensation rates. The paper has a second objective to assess the degree to which decentralisation in Vietnam has been actually implemented, and how this affects policy making processes such as the Vung Ang port/industrial zone project. The paper concludes that the relocation policy was implemented in a fairly efficient and harmonious way – with a very intensive engagement of the entire provincial administrative machinery, but that it is too early to assess the livelihood opportunities of the relocated households.
      </description>
      <author>Wit, J.W. de</author> <author>Luong Viet Sang</author> <author>Le Van Chien</author> <author>Luong Thu Hien</author> <author>Ha Viet Hung</author> <author>Dang Thi Anh Tuyet</author> <author>Dao Ngoc Bau</author> <author>Quang Hoa</author> <author>Mai Thi Thanh Tam</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>The Lehman Sisters Hypothesis: an exploration of literature and bankers (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32567/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-06-15T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This article tests the Lehman Sisters Hypothesis in two complementary, although incomplete ways. It reviews the diverse empirical literature in behavioural, experimental, and neuroeconomics as well as related fields of behavioural research. And it presents the findings from an explorative survey among Dutch financial professionals. The conclusion is that both methods find support for the Lehman Sisters Hypothesis. It shows that gender stereotypes are still influential, constraining women to achieve top positions in banking. At the same time, the analysis indicates that women perform better than men in finance and that female leaders have more balanced management skills than men and are rated as better leaders. This would plea for having more rather than less women at the top of the financial sector.
      </description>
      <author>Staveren, I.P. van</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>Early phase success and long run failure of economic sanctions. With an application to Iran (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32491/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-06-07T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        We develop a model of the dynamics of economic sanctions in conjunction with the response of the sanction target. We apply this model to the case of the EU and US boycott of Iranian oil. Our VAR model finds significant impacts of sanctions both on key economic variables and on the political system. These effects, however, are limited in time and occur in the first two to four years of the sanction episode only because adjustment of economic structures mitigates the economic and political impact of the sanctions.
      </description>
      <author>Dizaji, S.F.</author> <author>Bergeijk, P.A.G. van</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>‘War on piracy’: the conflation of Somali piracy with terrorism in discourse, tactic and law (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32374/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-05-22T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This paper argues that since 2005, the global security discourse has confused maritime piracy off the Horn of Africa with terrorism. American and European policymakers and financiers have tapped a vulnerable public imaginary to exaggerate Somali pirates as ‘maritime terrorists’ linked to Shabaab and Al Qaeda, driving the militarization and legal obfuscation of counter-piracy operations. The discursive conflation of piracy and terrorism has thereby launched a tactical and legal War on Piracy that mirrors the War on Terror. This approach is pushing pirates to become more daring and dangerous in response. We conclude that the tactical extension from counterterrorism to counter-piracy is unlikely to succeed, as it is insensitive to the origins, motives and modus operandi of Somali pirates. The paper proposes a shift from military to developmental responses to piracy, with an emphasis on respecting local institutions of law enforcement and governance in Somalia.
      </description>
      <author>Singh, C.</author> <author>Bedi, A.S.</author>
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      <title>Where the financial and economic crisis does bite : Impact on the Least Developed Countries (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32341/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-05-16T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        This paper looks beyond the comparatively good performance of the large emerging economies that gave rise to the mainstream narrative of decoupling. 
I discuss the negative economic and social impacts of the financial and economic crisis on the Least Developed Countries that the mainstream narrative hides below the veil of well performing large countries. The negative macroeconomic consequences are directly observed in a reduction of the foreign contribution to capital formation in LDCs and a deceleration of the growth of per capita Gross Domestic Product. Official Development Aid does not offer recourse contracting in real terms in 2011 and falling short by US$ 51 billion over 2008-2011.
The potential implications for human development are important. The paper indicates that Millennium Development Goals  (especially in the fields of poverty, child mortality and universal primary education) will be more difficult to attain in the Least Developed Countries.
      </description>
      <author>Bergeijk, P.A.G. van</author>
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      <title>Provincial migration in China : Preliminary insights from the 2010 population census (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32290/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-05-14T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        In anticipation of the forthcoming release of the 2010 national population census of China, this paper compares the limited population data that have been released so far with annual data on natural population increase since the 2000 census in order to construct a rough but robust measure of net migration for each province in China between these two censuses. The results emphasize the extent of net out-migration from much of interior and western China as well as the degree to which rapid population growth in five coastal growth poles has been due to net in-migration. In total, 15 out of 31 provinces experienced net population outflows between the two censuses according to this measure, versus only six that experienced negative population growth, leaving nine provinces that registered positive population growth at the same time as net out-migration. Three exceptions to the western pattern of net outflows were the Tibet Autonomous Region, Xinjiang and Ningxia, which had the highest average natural population increase rates in China and also continued to experience moderate net in-migration. Overall, the sheer extent and speed of these flows, which have been mostly contained within national borders, sheds light on the enormity of the developmental challenges facing the government in this context, as well as the demographic pressures placed on the coastal growth poles absorbing most of the net flows. Moreover, there appears to be little association between rates of net migration and provincial rates of economic growth or even provincial levels of per capita GDP during this period, except in the broadest interregional sense that the three coastal province-level entities exhibiting the strongest rates of net in-migration – Beijing, Shanghai and Tianjin – were by far the most affluent in China.
      </description>
      <author>Fischer, A.M.</author>
    </item> <item>
      <title>The effects of oil shocks on government expenditures and government revenues nexus in Iran (as a developing oil-export based economy) (Research Paper)</title>
      <link>http://repub.eur.nl/res/pub/32269/</link>
      <pubDate>2012-05-10T00:00:00Z</pubDate>
      <description>
        
        The main purpose of this study is to investigate the dynamic relationship between government revenues and government expenditures in Iran as a developing oil export based economy. Moreover, I want to know how government expenditures and revenues respond to oil price (revenue) shocks. I use two different groups of the variables with two different time periods (quarterly and annually) to investigate the robustness and reliability of the results and to provide a more comprehensive base for comparison against different methodologies. For the first group of the variables (including oil price, oil revenues to GDP ratio, government total expenditures to GDP ratio and a dummy variable for capturing the effects of war with Iraq) I apply an SVAR model using annual data for the period 1970-2008. The results of the impulse response functions and variance decomposition analysis indicate that the causality is running from oil revenues to GDP ratio to government total expenditures to GDP ratio. Moreover the contribution of oil revenue shocks in explaining the government expenditures to GDP ratio is stronger than the contribution of oil price shocks. For the second group of the variables (oil revenues, government total revenues, government current expenditures, government capital expenditures, money supply and CPI) unrestricted VAR and VEC models have been applied using quarterly data for the period 1990:2-2009:1. The results of the impulse response functions and variance decompositions analysis for both VAR and VEC models indicate that the strong causality is running from government revenues to government expenditures (both current and capital) in Iranian economy while the evidence for the reverse causality is very weak. The results show that in the VEC model which the long-run behavior of endogenous variables is restricted to converge to their co-integration relationships, oil revenue shocks can affect the other macroeconomic variables more directly while in the VAR model this changes and works through the total revenues channel. Moreover the findings indicate that government revenues, government expenditures and money supply are important determinants of domestic price level in Iranian economy. 
Overall my results support the revenue-spending hypothesis for Iran. In this context Iran should enhance the effectiveness of fiscal policy by making budget expenditure less driven by revenue availability. This policy can help to avoid the costs and instability that variations in public spending generate mostly due to the fluctuations in oil revenues.

      </description>
      <author>Dizaji, S.F.</author>
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