Do we think we make better forecasts than in the past? A survey of academics
November 2004
Article
volume 34, issue 6 pp 466-468.
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A survey of 76 members of the editorial boards of six academic journals indicates that 64 percent believe that we have made modest progress in forecasting over the past three decades. They attribute this progress largely to increased computing power and improved data. They believe we would make further progress by including experts' opinions.
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