Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Franses, Ph.H.B.F.
Author-Name-Last: Franses
Author-Name-First: Philip Hans
Author-Person: pfr226
Author-Name: de Groot, E.A.
Author-Name-Last: de Groot
Author-Name-First: Bert
Title: Long-term forecast for the Dutch economy
Abstract: A strong link exists between Randstad's temporary sta±ng services and
 Dutch GDP. The two annual series share a stochastic trend and two long-swing
 deterministic cycles. Causality appears to run from temporary sta±ng to GDP
 and not vice versa. These features are taken aboard in a simple forecasting
 model for Dutch GDP growth for the period 2005-2015. The forecasts suggest
 growth rates around 2 per cent, with a dip to be expected around 2012-2013.
Creation-Date: 2006-01-24
File-URL: https://repub.eur.nl/pub/7246/ei2006-06.pdf
File-Format: application/pdf
Series: RePEc:ems:eureir
Number: EI 2006-06
Handle: RePEc:ems:eureir:7246