Skip to main content
Log in

Gibrat's Law: Are the Services Different?

  • Published:
Review of Industrial Organization Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Several noted surveys on intra-industry dynamics have reached the conclusion from a large body of evidence that Gibrat's Law does not hold. However, almost all of these studies have been based on manufacturing or large scale services such as banking and insurance industries. There are compelling reasons to doubt whether these findings hold for small scale services such as the hospitality industries. In this paper we examine whether the basic tenet underlying Gibrat's Law– that growth rates are independent of firm size – can be rejected for the services as it has been for manufacturing. Based on a large sample of Dutch firms in the hospitality industries the evidence suggests that in most cases growth rates are independent of firm size. Validation of Gibrat's Law in some sub-sectors of the small scale services suggests that the dynamics of industrial organization for services may not simply mirror that for manufacturing. The present paper includes a survey of nearly 60 empirical studies on firm growth rates.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Acs Z. J. and D. B. Audretsch (1990) Innovation and Small Firms. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Acs Z. J. and C. Armington (2001) 'Gibrat's Law Reconsidered: The Relationship Between Firm Growth, Establishment Age, Establishment Size and Firm Size', Working Paper of the Regional Entrepreneurship Catalyst Kauffman Center for Entrepreneurial Leadership, Kansas City, MO.

  • Almus M. and E. A. Nerlinger (2000) 'Testing Gibrat's Law for Young Firms-Empirical Results for West Germany', Small Business Economics, 15, 1–12.

    Google Scholar 

  • Amaral L. A. N, S. W. Buldyrev, S. Havlin, H. Leschhorn, P. Maass, M. A. Salinger, H. E. Stanley and M. H. R. Stanley (1997), 'Scaling Behavior in Economics: Empirical Results for Company Growth', Journal de Physique I, 7, 621–633.

    Google Scholar 

  • Amirkhalkhali S. and A. K. Mukhopadhyay (1993) 'The Influence of Size and R&D on the Growth of Firms in the U.S.', Eastern Economic Journal, 19, 223–233.

    Google Scholar 

  • Audretsch D. B. (1991) 'New Firm Survival and the Technological Regime', Review of Economics and Statistics, 73, 441–450.

    Google Scholar 

  • Audretsch D. B. (1995) Innovation and Industry Evolution. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Audretsch D. B. and T. Mahmood (1994) 'Firm Selection and Industry Evolution: The Post-Entry Performance of New Firms', Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 4, 243–260.

    Google Scholar 

  • Audretsch D. B. and T. Mahmood (1995) 'New-Firm Survival: New Results Using a Hazard Function', Review of Economics and Statistics, 77, 97–103.

    Google Scholar 

  • Audretsch D. B., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli (1999) 'Start-up Size and Industrial Dynamics: Some Evidence from Italian Manufacturing', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 17, 965–983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baldwin J.R. (1995) The Dynamics of Industrial Competition: A North American Perspective. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baldwin J.R. and M. Rafiquzzaman (1995) 'Selection versus Evolutionary Adaptation: Learning and Post-Entry Performance', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 13, 501–522.

    Google Scholar 

  • Becchetti, L. and G. Trovato (2002) 'The Determinants of Growth for Small and Medium Sized Firms', Small Business Economics, 19, 291–306.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bottazzi G., G. Dosi, M. Lippi, F. Pammolli and M. Riccaboni (2001) 'Innovation and Corporate Growth in the Evolution of the Drug Industry', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 19, 1161–1187.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bourlakis C. A. (1990) 'Probability of Survival and Firm Growth in Greek Manufacturing Industries', Paper Presented at the 17th Annual Conference of the European Association for Research in Industrial Economics (EARIE), mimeo, University of Leeds.

  • Brock W. A. (1999) 'Scaling in Economics: A Reader's Guide', Industrial and Corporate Change, 8, 409–446.

    Google Scholar 

  • Buckley P.J., J.H. Dunning and R.D. Pearce (1984) 'An Analysis of the Growth and Profitability of the World's Largest Firms 1972-1977', Kyklos, 37, 3–26.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cabral L. (1995) 'Sunk Costs, Firm Size and Firm Growth', Journal of Industrial Economics, 43, 161–172.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cabral L. and J. Mata (2003) 'On the Evolution of the Firm Size Distribution: Facts and Theory', American Economic Review, 93, 1075–1091.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carree M. and A.R. Thurik (1991) 'Recent Developments in the Dutch Firm-Size Distribution', Small Business Economics, 3, 261–268.

    Google Scholar 

  • Caves R. E. (1998) 'Industrial Organization and New Findings on the Turnover and Mobility of Firms', Journal of Economic Literature, 36, 1947–1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen J-R and W-C. Lu (2003) 'Panel Unit Root Tests of Firm Size and its Growth', Applied Economics Letters, 10, 343–345.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chesher A. (1979) 'Testing the Law of Proportionate Effect', Journal of Industrial Economics, 27, 403–411.

    Google Scholar 

  • Comanor W.S. and T.A. Wilson (1967) 'Advertising, Market Structure, and Performance', Review of Economics and Statistics, 49, 423–440.

    Google Scholar 

  • Contini B. and R. Revelli (1989) 'The Relationship between Firm Growth and Labor Demand', Small Business Economics, 1, 309–314.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cooley T. and V. Quadrini (2001) 'Financial Markets and Firm Dynamics', American Economic Review, 91, 1286–1310.

    Google Scholar 

  • Delmar F., P. Davidsson and W. B. Gartner (2003) 'Arriving at the High-growth Firm', Journal of Business Venturing, 18, 189–216.

    Google Scholar 

  • Del Monte A. and E. Papagni (2003) 'R & D and the Growth of Firms. An Empirical Analysis of a Panel of Italian Firms', Research Policy, 32, 1003–1014.

    Google Scholar 

  • Doms M., T. Dunne and M.J. Roberts (1995) 'The Role of Technology Use in the Survival and Growth of Manufacturing Plants', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 13, 523–542.

    Google Scholar 

  • Droucopoulos V. (1983) 'International Big Business Revisited: On the Size and Growth of the World's Largest Firms', Managerial and Decision Economics, 4, 244–252.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunne P. and A. Hughes (1994) 'Age, Size, Growth and Survival: UK Companies in the 1980s', Journal of Industrial Economics, 42, 115–140.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunne T., M.J. Roberts and L. Samuelson (1988) 'Patterns of Firm Entry and Exit in US Manufacturing Industries', Rand Journal of Economics, 19, 495–515.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunne T., M. J. Roberts and L. Samuelson (1989) 'The Growth and Failure of US Manufacturing Plants', Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104, 671–698.

    Google Scholar 

  • Evangelista R. (2000) 'Innovation and Employment in Services. Results from the Italian Innovation Survey', in M. Vivarelli and M. Pianta eds., The Employment Impact of Innovation. Evidence and Policy. New York: Routledge,PP 121–148.

    Google Scholar 

  • Evans D. S. (1987a) 'The Relationship between Firm Growth, Size, and Age: Estimates for 100 Manufacturing Industries', Journal of Industrial Economics, 35, 567–581.

    Google Scholar 

  • Evans D. S. (1987b) 'Tests of Alternative Theories of Firm Growth', Journal of Political Economy, 95, 657–674.

    Google Scholar 

  • Faggio G. and J. Konings (2003) 'Job Creation, Job Destruction and Employment Growth in Transition Countries in the 90s', Economic Systems, 27, 129–154.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fariñ as J.C. and L. Moreno (2000) 'Firms' Growth, Size and Age: A Nonparametric Approach', Review of Industrial Organization, 17, 249–265.

    Google Scholar 

  • FitzRoy F.R. and K. Kraft (1991) 'Firm Size, Growth and Innovation: Some Evidence from West Germany', in Z.J. Acs and D.B. Audretsch eds., Innovation and Technological Change: An International Comparison. London: Harvester Wheatsheaf, 152–159.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fotopoulos G. and H. Louri (2001) 'Corporate Growth and FDI: Are Multinationals Stimulating Local Industrial Development?', CEPR Discussion Paper Series, No. 3128.

  • Gallagher C.C., M.J. Daly and J.C. Thomason (1991) 'The Growth of UK Companies and Their Contribution to Job Generation, 1985-1987', Small Business Economics, 3, 269–286.

    Google Scholar 

  • Geroski P.A. (1995) 'What Do We Know About Entry?', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 13, 421–440.

    Google Scholar 

  • Geroski P.A. and S. Machin (1993) 'Innovation, Profitability and Growth over the Business Cycle', Empirica, 20, 35–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Geroski P.A., S. Lazarova, G. Urga and C.F. Walters (2003) 'Are Differences in Firm Size Transitory or Permanent?', Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18, 47–59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ghosal V. (2001) 'The Impact of Uncertainty and Sunk Costs on Firm and Industry Dynamics', Paper Presented at the 5th EUNIP Conference, Vienna, November 29th-December 1st.

  • Gibrat R. (1931) Les Inégalités Économiques. Paris: Librairie du Recueil Sirey.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goddard, J., J. Wilson and P. Blandon (2002) 'Panel Tests of Gibrat's Law for Japanese Manufacturing', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 20, 415–433.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hall B.H. (1987) 'The Relationship between Firm Size and Firm Growth in the US Manufacturing Sector', Journal of Industrial Economics, 35, 583–606.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton L. (1998) Statistics with Stata 5. Pacific Grove (CA): Duxbury Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hardwick P. and M. Adams (2002) 'Firm Size and Growth in the United Kingdom Life Insurance Industry', Journal of Risk and Insurance, 69, 577–593.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harhoff D., K. Stahl and M. Woywode (1998) 'Legal form, Growth and Exit of West German Firms-Empirical Results for Manufacturing, Construction, Trade and Service Industries', Journal of Industrial Economics, 46, 453–488.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hart P.E. (1962) 'The Size and Growth of Firms', Economica, 29, 29–39.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hart P.E. and S.J. Prais (1956) 'The Analysis of Business Concentration: A Statistical Approach', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 119 (part2,series A), 150–191.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hart P.E. (2000) 'Theories of Firms' Growth and the Generation of Jobs', Review of Industrial Organization, 17, 229–248.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hart P.E. and N. Oulton (1999) 'Gibrat, Galton and Job Generation', International Journal of the Economics of Business, 6, 149–164.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heckman J. J. (1979) 'Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error', Econometrica, 47, 153–161.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heshmati A. (2001) 'On the Growth of Micro and Small Firms: Evidence from Sweden', Small Business Economics, 17, 213–228.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hymer S. and P. Pashigian (1962) 'Firm Size and Rate of Growth', Journal of Political Economy, 70, 556–569.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keating G. R. (1974) 'Gibrat's Law and the Growth of Firms', Australian Economic Papers, 13, 281–287.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ijiri Y. and H.A. Simon (1977) Skew Distributions and the Sizes of Business Firms. Amsterdam: North Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Im K.S.,M.H. Pesaran and Y. Shin (1995) 'Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels', University of Cambridge, Department of Applied Economics Working Paper, Amalgamated Series: 9526, June.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar M .S. (1985) ‘Growth, Acquisition Activity and Firm Size: Evidence from the United Kingdom’, Journal of Industrial Economics, 33, 327-338.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lensink R., P. van Steen and E. Sterken (2000) 'Uncertainty and Growth of the Firm', CCSO Centre for Economic Research, University of Groningen, Working Paper No. 200014.

  • Lotti F., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli (2001) 'The Relationship between Size and Growth: The Case of Italian New-born Firms', Applied Economics Letters, 8, 451–454.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lotti F., E. Santarelli and M. Vivarelli (2003) 'Does Gibrat's Law Hold among Young, Small Firms?' Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 14, 213–235.

    Google Scholar 

  • Machado J.A.F. and J. Mata (2000) 'Box-Cox Quantile Regression and the Distribution of Firm Sizes', Journal of Applied Econometrics, 15, 253–274.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maddala G. and S. Wu (1999) 'A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test', Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 1399–1416.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mahmood T. (1992) 'Does the Hazard Rate of New Plants Vary Between High-and Low-Tech Industries?' Small Business Economics, 4, 201–210.

    Google Scholar 

  • Malinvaud E. (1980) Statistical Methods of Econometrics, 3rd edn. Amsterdam: North Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mansfield E. (1962) 'Entry, Gibrat's Law, Innovation, and the Growth of Firms', American Economic Review, 52, 1023–1051.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marquardt D.W. (1963) 'An Algorithm for Least Squares Estimation of Non-Linear Parameters', Journal of the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 11, 431–441.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mata J. (1994) 'Firm Growth During Infancy', Small Business Economics, 6, 27–39.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mata J. and P. Portugal (1994) 'Life Duration of New Firms', Journal of Industrial Economics, 42, 227–246.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mata J., P. Portugal and P. Guimaraes (1995) 'The Survival of New Plants: Start-up Conditions and Post-Entry Evolution', International Journal of Industrial Organization, 13, 459–482.

    Google Scholar 

  • McCloughan P. (1995) 'Modified Gibrat Growth, Entry, Exit and Concentration Development', Journal of Industrial Economics, 43, 405–433.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nelson R.R. and S.G. Winter (1982) An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. Cambridge Massachusetts: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pfaffermayr M. and C. Bellak (2000) 'Why Foreign-owned Firms are Different: A Conceptual Framework and Empirical Evidence for Austria', Hamburg Institute of International Economics, Discussion Paper No. 115.

  • Phillips B.D. and B.A. Kirchhoff (1989) 'Formation, Growth and Survival; Small Firm Dynamics in the US Economy', Small Business Economics, 1, 65–74.

    Google Scholar 

  • Piergiovanni, R., E. Santarelli, L. Klomp and A. R. Thurik (2003) 'Gibrat's Law and the Firm Size/Firm Growth Relationship in Italian Services', Revue d'Economie Industrielle, 102, 69–82.

    Google Scholar 

  • Prais S.J. (1976) The Evolution of Giant Firms in Britain. London: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Prescott E. and M. Visscher (1980) 'Organization Capital', Journal of Political Economy, 88, 446–461.

    Google Scholar 

  • Quandt R.E. (1966) 'On the Size Distribution of Firms', American Economic Review, 56, 416–432.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reid G. (1995) 'Early Life-Cycle Behaviour of Micro-Firms in Scotland', Small Business Economics, 7, 89–95.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ritzen J.H.G. and H. P. M. M. Van der Ven (1990) 'Demography of Firms, Business Registers and Cohort Analyses', Netherlands Official Statistics, 5(1), 4–16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Samuels J.M. (1965) 'Size and Growth of Firms', Review of Economic Studies, 32, 105–112.

    Google Scholar 

  • Santarelli E. (1997) '—La relazione tra dimensione iniziale, sopravvivenza e crescita delle imprese nel settore turistico in Italia', Statistica, 57, 125–138.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scherer F.M. (1980) Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance, 2nd edn. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Scherer F.M. and D. Ross (1990) Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance, 3rd edn. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmalensee R. (1989) 'Inter-Industry Studies of Structure and Performance', in R. Schmalensee and R.D. Willig eds. Handbook of Industrial Organization, Vol. 2. Amsterdam: North Holland, 951–1009.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simon H. A. and C. P. Bonini (1958) 'The Size Distribution of Business Firms', American Economic Review, 48, 607–617.

    Google Scholar 

  • Singh A. and G. Whittington (1975) 'The Size and Growth of Firms', Review of Economic Studies, 42, 15–26.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sutton J. (1997) 'Gibrat's Legacy', Journal of Economic Literature, 35, 40–59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sutton J. (1998) Technology and Market Structure: Theory and History. Cambridge and London, MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tschoegl A. (1996) 'Managerial Dis(economies) of Scale: The Case of Regional Banks in Japan', Reginald H. Jones Center for Management and Policy, Strategy and Organization, The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Working Paper No. 96-04.

  • Vander Vennet R. (2001) 'The Law of Proportionate Effect and OECD Bank Sectors', Applied Economics, 33, 539–546.

    Google Scholar 

  • Variyam J. N. and D. S. Kraybill (1992) 'Empirical Evidence on Determinants of Firm Growth', Economics Letters, 38, 31–36.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wagner J. (1992) 'Firm Size, Firm Growth, and Persistence of Chance: Testing Gibrat's Law with Establishment Data from Lower Saxony', 1978-1989, Small Business Economics, 4, 125–131.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wagner J. (1994) 'The Post-Entry Performance of New Small Firms in German Manufacturing Industries', Journal of Industrial Economics, 42, 141–154.

    Google Scholar 

  • Willeboordse A. J. (1986) 'Towards a 'Demography' of Firms', Netherlands Official Statistics, 1(2), 5–11.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Audretsch, D., Klomp, L., Santarelli, E. et al. Gibrat's Law: Are the Services Different?. Review of Industrial Organization 24, 301–324 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1023/B:REIO.0000038273.50622.ec

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/B:REIO.0000038273.50622.ec

Navigation