Skip to main content
Log in

An axiomatization of cumulative prospect theory

  • Published:
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper presents a method for axiomatizing a variety of models for decision making under uncertainty, including Expected Utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory. This method identifies, for each model, the situations that permit consistent inferences about the ordering of value differences. Examples of rankdependent and sign-dependent preference patterns are used to motivate the models and the “tradeoff consistency” axioms that characterize them. The major properties of the value function in Cumulative Prospect Theory—diminishing sensitivity and loss aversion—are contrasted with the principle of diminishing marginal utility that is commonly assumed in Expected Utility.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Chateauneuf, A. (1990). “On the Use of Comonotonicity in the Axiomatization of EURDP Theory for Arbitrary Consequences.” Extended abstract presented at Fifth International Conference on the Foundations and Applications of Utility, Risk and Decision Theory (FUR-90), CERMSEM, University of Paris I.

  • Chateauneuf, A. and M. Cohen. (1990). “Risk Seeking with Diminishing Marginal Utility in a Non-Expected Utility Model,” CERMSEM, University of Paris I.

  • Chateauneuf, A. and P.P. Wakker. (1991). “From Local to Global Additive Representation,”Journal of Mathematical Economics, forthcoming.

  • Chew, S.H. (1989). “The Rank-Dependent Quasilinear Mean.” Unpublished manuscript, Department of Economics, University of California, Irvine.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chew, S.H., and L.G. Epstein. (1989). “Axiomatic Rank-Dependent Means,”Annals of Operations Research 19, 299–309.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chew, S.H., E. Kami, and Z. Safra. (1987). “Risk Aversion in the Theory of Expected Utility with Rank Dependent Probabilities,”Journal of Economic Theory 42, 370–381.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chew, S.H. and P.P. Wakker. (1991). “Generalizing Choquet Expected Utility by Weakening Savage's Sure-Thing Principle,” Irvine Research Unit in Mathematical Behavioral Sciences, MBS 91-16, University of California, Irvine.

    Google Scholar 

  • Choquet, G. (1953-4). “Theory of Capacities,”Annales de l'Institut Fourier (Grenoble), 5, 131–295.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fishburn, P.C. (1988).Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilboa, I. (1987). “Expected Utility with Purely Subjective Non-Additive Probabilities,”Journal of Mathematical Economics 16, 65–88.

    Google Scholar 

  • Green, J. and B. Jullien. (1988). “Ordinal Independence in Non-Linear Utility Theory,”Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 1, 355–387. (Erratum 2, 1989, 119).

    Google Scholar 

  • Kahneman, D. and A. Tversky. (1979). “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk,”Econometrica 47, 263–291.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krantz, D.H., R.D. Luce, P. Suppes, and A. Tversky, (1971).Foundations of Measurement, vol. 1.(Additive and Polynomial Representations). New York: Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelley, J.L. (1955).General Topology. London: Van Nostrand.

    Google Scholar 

  • Luce, R.D., and P.C. Fishburn. (1991). “RankandSign Dependent Linear Utility Models for Finite FirstOrder Gambles,”Journal of Risk and Undertainty 4, 29–59.

    Google Scholar 

  • Machina, M.J. (1982). “‘Expected Utility’ Analysis without the Independence Axiom,”Econometrica 50, 277–323.

    Google Scholar 

  • Markowitz, H. (1952). “The Utility of Wealth,”Journal of Political Economy, 60, 151–158.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miyamoto, J.M. (1988). “Generic Utility Theory: Measurement Foundations and Applications in Multiattribute Utility Theory,”Journal of Mathematical Psychology 32, 357–404.

    Google Scholar 

  • Quiggin, J. (1982). “A Theory of Anticipated Utility,”Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 3, 323–343.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmeidler, D. (1989). “Subjective Probability and Expected Utility without Additivity,”Econometrica 57, 571–587.

    Google Scholar 

  • Segal, U. (1993). “The Measure Representation: A Correction,”Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 6, 99–107.

    Google Scholar 

  • Starmer, C., and R. Sugden. (1989). “Violations of the Independence Axiom in Common Ratio Problems: An Experimental Test of Some Competing Hypotheses,”Annals of Operations Research 19, 79–101.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman. (1992). “Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty,”Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5, 297–323.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tversky, A., S. Sattath, and P. Slovic. (1988). “Contingent Weighting in Judgment and Choice,”Psychological Review 95, 371–384.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakker, P.P. (1989).Additive Representations of Preferences: A New Foundation of Decision Analysis. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakker, P.P. (1990a). “Under Stochastic Dominance Choquet-Expected Utility and Anticipated Utility are Identical,”Theory and Decision 29, 119–132.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakker, P.P. (1990b). “Separating Marginal Utility and Probabilistic Risk Aversion.” Theory and Decision, forthcoming.

  • Wakker, P.P. (1991). “Additive Representations on Rank-Ordered Sets. I. The Algebraic Approach,”Journal of Mathematical Psychology 35, 501–531.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakker, P.P. (1993a). “Additive Representations on Rank-Ordered Sets. II. The Topological Approach,”Journal of Mathematical Economics, 22, 1–26.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakker, P.P. (1993b). “Unbounded Utility for Savage's ‘Foundations of Statistics’, and other Models,”Mathematics of Operations Research, 18, 446–485.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wakker, P.P. (1993c). “Counterexamples to Segal's Measure Representation Theorem,”Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 6, 91–98.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weymark, J.A. (1981). “Generalized Gini Inequality Indices,”Mathematical Social Sciences 1, 409–430.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yaari, M.E. (1987). “The Dual Theory of Choice under Risk,”Econometrica 55, 95–115.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

The research of the first author has been made possible by a fellowship of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences. This work was supported by Grant No. 89-0064 from the Air Force Office of Scientific Research to the second author.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Wakker, P., Tversky, A. An axiomatization of cumulative prospect theory. J Risk Uncertainty 7, 147–175 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01065812

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01065812

Key words

Navigation