Trade uncertainty and specialization: social versus private planning


Article
volume 138, issue 1 pp 15-32.
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A small trading economy which produces and trades an arbitrary, but finite, number of goods and faces given terms of trade in combination with an uncertain volume of trade is studied. An exogenous probability of trade disruption forces both public and private decision-makers to specialize to a lesser extent in accordance with their comparative advantage. A unique optimal point of production exists for each probability of trade disruption. A private competitive economy will not produce at this point: it produces too much of the good with a comparative advantage.



Keywords


Classifications using Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) Classification System
Automatically Extracted Terms
  • trade
  • production
  • utility
  • function
  • point
  • price
  • economy
  • utility function
  • uncertainty
  • combination
  • production combination
  • income
  • autarky
  • probability
  • producer
  • equilibrium
  • van marrewijk
  • production point
  • disruption
  • regime