http://hdl.handle.net/1765/8995
series: ERS-2007-013-F&A

Hedging Exposure to Electricity Price Risk in a Value at Risk Framework


Research Paper
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This paper deals with the question how an electricity end-consumer or distribution company should structure its portfolio with energy forward contracts. This paper introduces a one period framework to determine optimal positions in peak and off-peak contracts in order to purchase future consumption volume. In this framework, the end-consumer or distribution company is assumed to minimize expected costs of purchasing respecting an ex-ante risk limit defined in terms of Value at Risk. Based on prices from the German EEX market, it is shown that a risk-loving agent is able to obtain lower expected costs than for a risk-averse agent.



Keywords


Classifications using Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) Classification System
Automatically Extracted Terms
  • off-peak
  • price
  • contract
  • market
  • electricity
  • peak hour
  • off-peak hour
  • day-ahead
  • level
  • position
  • day-ahead market
  • volume
  • consumer
  • german eex market
  • delivery
  • day t
  • consumption
  • value
  • portfolio
  • peak hours