The political interpretation behind the Barro-Gordon model hinges on two assumptions: Inflation and output growth have distributional effects, and policymakers' distributional desires can be represented by a quadratic loss function in terms of output and inflation. In this article we have examined these two assumptions. Our main results are (1) inflation and output growth have significant effects on the size income distribution, (2) if policymakers are only concerned with the income distribution, no inflationary bias will arise; and (3) the Barro-Gordon model may represent a political model in which political parties care about both the size income distribution and output growth. However, the inflationary bias implied by the Barro-Gordon model should not be associated with the political color of the policymakers.

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doi.org/10.1016/0161-8938(95)00024-0, hdl.handle.net/1765/12304
Journal of Policy Modeling
Erasmus School of Economics

Lippi, F., & Swank, O. (1996). Do Policy Makers’ Distributional Desires Lead to an Inflationary Bias. Journal of Policy Modeling, 18(1), 109–116. doi:10.1016/0161-8938(95)00024-0