2021
Simple bayesian forecast combination
Publication
Publication
Annals of Financial Economics
In this paper, it is proposed to combine the forecasts using a simple Bayesian forecast combination algorithm. The algorithm is applied to forecasts from three non-nested diffusion models for S shaped processes like virus diffusion. An illustration to daily data on first-wave cumulative Covid-19 cases in the Netherlands shows the ease of use of the algorithm and the accuracy of the newly combined forecasts.
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| doi.org/10.1142/S2010495220500165, hdl.handle.net/1765/134829 | |
| Annals of Financial Economics | |
| Organisation | Department of Econometrics |
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Franses, P. H. (2021). Simple bayesian forecast combination. Annals of Financial Economics. doi:10.1142/S2010495220500165 |
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