This paper examines the roles of futures prices of crude oil, gasoline, ethanol, corn, soybeans and sugar in the energy-grain nexus. It also investigates the own- and cross-market impacts for lagged grain trading volume and open interest in the energy and grain markets. According to the results, the conventional view, for which the impacts are from oil to gasoline to ethanol to grains in the energy-grain nexus, does not hold well in the long run because the oil price is influenced by gasoline, soybeans and oil. Moreover, gasoline is preceded by only the oil price and ethanol is not foreshadowed by any of the prices. However, in the short run, two-way feedback in both directions exists in all markets. The grain trading volume effect across oil and gasoline is more pronounced in the short run than the long run, satisfying both the overconfidence/disposition and new information hypotheses across markets. The results for the ethanol open interest shows that money flows out of this market in both the short and long run, but no results suggest across market inflows or outflows to the other grain markets.

Additional Metadata
Keywords Causality, depth, energy, grains, market liquidity
JEL Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices (jel Q11), Agricultural Policy; Food Policy (jel Q18), Alternative Energy Sources (jel Q42)
Publisher Erasmus School of Economics
Persistent URL hdl.handle.net/1765/23115
Series Econometric Institute Research Papers
Journal Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Citation
Sari, R, Hammoudeh, S.M, Chang, C-L, & McAleer, M.J. (2011). Causality Between Market Liquidity and Depth for Energy and Grains (No. EI 2011-14). Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam (pp. 1–46). Erasmus School of Economics. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1765/23115