Common socio-economic cycle periods
We present a meta-analysis of cycle periods in historical socio-economic data found in the K-wave literature. The literature on stochastic and deterministic cycles in variables such as the consumer price index, employment, interest rates, commodity prices, GDP, war and hegemony is huge and scattered. However our meta-analysis reveals various commonalities. Our key finding is that there is a common set of cycle periods that is common across most socio-economic variables.
|Keywords||Basic innovations, Business cycles, Cycle periods, Fibonacci sequence, Multiple cycles|
|Persistent URL||dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.006, hdl.handle.net/1765/31386|
|Series||Econometric Institute Reprint Series|
|Journal||Technological Forecasting and Social Change|
de Groot, E.A, & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (2012). Common socio-economic cycle periods. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(1), 59–68. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.006