This dissertation includes five academic papers that – one way or the other – all relate to China. The first paper delivers proof for the central thesis of this thesis, which is that China’s boom caused the 2008 financial crisis and ensuing recession. As much as I hoped from the outset to find evidence that China’s leadership purposely flooded global financial markets with cheap money, I have concluded on the basis of my research that the Chinese have more prosaic reasons to save more than half of their national income, and hold it overwhelmingly in the form of bank deposits, driving down global interest rates. The second paper explains why Chinese households save about 30 percent of household income. The third paper shows that individuals in China are susceptible to money illusion, albeit to a lesser extent than their American counterparts. On the basis of financial markets’ response to Chinese GDP figures we have found no evidence, in paper 4, that China’s National Bureau of Statistics ‘cooks the books.’ Last and also least, in paper 5 we show that China’s Q2, Q3 and Q4 GDP numbers are rather predictable because quarterly GDP is reported cumulatively.

Additional Metadata
Keywords china, china’s saving rate, federal reserve, financial crisis, financial markets, great recession, macroeconomics, monetary policy, money illusion
Promotor Ph.H.B.F. Franses (Philip Hans)
Publisher Erasmus University Rotterdam , Erasmus Research Institute of Management
Sponsor Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR), Prof.dr. C.G. de Vries, Prof.dr. G. Bekaert, Prof.dr. H.H. van Ark
ISBN 978-90-5892-311-0
Persistent URL hdl.handle.net/1765/34930
Series ERIM Ph.D. Series Research in Management
Citation
Mees, H. (2012, August 28). Changing Fortunes: How China’s Boom Caused the Financial Crisis (No. EPS-2012-266-MKT). ERIM Ph.D. Series Research in Management. Erasmus Research Institute of Management. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1765/34930