Fat tails, VaR and subadditivity
Journal of Econometrics , Volume 172 - Issue 2 p. 283- 291
Financial institutions rely heavily on Value-at-Risk (VaR) as a risk measure, even though it is not globally subadditive. First, we theoretically show that the VaR portfolio measure is subadditive in the relevant tail region if asset returns are multivariate regularly varying, thus allowing for dependent returns. Second, we note that VaR estimated from historical simulations may lead to violations of subadditivity. This upset of the theoretical VaR subadditivity in the tail arises because the coarseness of the empirical distribution can affect the apparent fatness of the tails. Finally, we document a dramatic reduction in the frequency of subadditivity violations, by using semi-parametric extreme value techniques for VaR estimation instead of historical simulations.
|Extreme value estimation, Fat tailed distribution, Subadditivity, Value-at-Risk|
|Journal of Econometrics|
|Organisation||Erasmus School of Economics|
Daníelsson, J, Jorgensen, B.N, Samorodnitsky, G, Sarma, M, & de Vries, C.G. (2013). Fat tails, VaR and subadditivity. In Journal of Econometrics (Vol. 172, pp. 283–291). doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.08.011