We explore the impact of multilateral liberalization, with emphasis on distributional effects across countries. We first develop a realistic "base1ine" that takes into account events such as the entry of China into the WTO and the enlargement of the EU, allowing us to focus on those effects that are specifically attributable to further trade liberalization in the Doha Round. We then employ a global applied general equilibrium model, featuring capital accumulation and imperfect competition. Our Doha scenarios include agriculture, manufactures, and services liberalization, and trade facilitation. With agglomeration, OECD agricultural liberalization is not uniform1y positive for developing countries.

CGE modeling, Doha Round, WTO, services trade, trade facilitattion, trade liberalization
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies (jel F12), Commercial Policy; Protection; Promotion; Trade Negotiations; International Organizations (jel F13), Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance (jel F4)
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper Series
Tinbergen Institute

François, J.F, van Meijl, H, & van Tongeren, F. (2003). Trade Liberalization and Developing Countries under the Doha Round (No. TI 03-060/2). Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper Series. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1765/6703