This paper builds on De Groot and Franses (2005) (Econometric Institute Report 2005-01). It modifies the EICIE, the Econometric Institute Current Indicator of the Economy, by allowing for two regimes. These regimes are marked by positive or negative annual growth in the staffing services data. Real time estimates of GDP growth for 2005 quarters 1 and 2, using this non-linear model, have been published in a Dutch language article in the ESB of April 22 2005 and of July 15 2005.

Additional Metadata
Keywords GDP, current indicator, staffing
Persistent URL hdl.handle.net/1765/6940
Series Econometric Institute Research Papers
Journal Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Citation
de Groot, E.A, & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (2005). Real time estimates of GDP growth, based on two-regime models (No. EI 2005-32). Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1765/6940