Stability through cycles
Economic variables like GDP growth, employment, interest rates and consumption show signs of cyclical behavior. Many variables display multiple cycles, with lengths ranging in between 5 to even up to 100 years. We argue that multiple cycles can be associated with long-run stability of the economic system, provided that the cycle lengths are such that interference is rare or absent. For a large sample of important variables, including key variables for the US, UK and the Netherlands, we document that this is indeed the case.
|Keywords||Fibonacci, business cycles, economic stability, long waves|
|JEL||Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development (jel O11)|
|Series||Econometric Institute Research Papers|
|Journal||Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam|
de Groot, E.A, & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (2006). Stability through cycles (No. EI 2006-07). Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1765/7666