We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribu- tion. Our method can be used to approximate any posterior distribution, provided that it is given in closed form up to the proportionality constant. The approxi- mation can be any distribution in the exponential family or any mixture of such distributions, which means that it can be made arbitrarily precise. Several exam- ples illustrate the speed and accuracy of our approximation method in practice.

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doi.org/10.1214/13-BA858, hdl.handle.net/1765/76819
Bayesian Analysis
Tinbergen Institute

Salimans, T., & Knowles, D. (2013). Fixed-form variational posterior approximation through stochastic linear regression. Bayesian Analysis, 8(4), 837–882. doi:10.1214/13-BA858