This report is the third part of a PhD project entitled "The Econometrics of Maritime Safety – Recommendations to Enhance Safety at Sea" which is based on 183,000 port state control inspections and 11,700 casualties from various data sources. Its overall objective is to provide recommendations to improve safety at sea. The second part looks into the differences across port state control regimes based on the probability of detention while the third part is measuring the effect of inspections on the probability of casualty which can be measured for very serious casualties but not for serious or less serious casualties. It further determines the magnitude of improvement areas for targeting substandard vessels and gives an evaluation of the target factor.

Port State Control Effectiveness, binary logistic regression, casualty first events, effectiveness of vetting inspections, magnitude of improvement possibilities, maritime safety, probability of casualty, target factor improvement
Insurance; Insurance Companies (jel G22), Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities (jel L9), Railroads and Other Surface Transportation: Autos, Buses, Trucks, and Water Carriers; Ports (jel L92), Transportation: Demand; Supply; Congestion; Safety and Accidents (jel R41)
Econometric Institute Research Papers
Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Erasmus School of Economics

Knapp, S, & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (2006). The Overall View of the Effect of Inspections and Evaluation of the Target Factor to target substandard vessels (No. EI 2006-31). Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam. Retrieved from