This report is the fourth part of a PhD project called "The Econometrics of Maritime Safety – Recommendations to Enhance Safety at Sea" and is based on 183,000 port state control inspections and 11,700 casualties from various data sources. Its overall objective is to provide recommendations to improve safety at sea. The fourth part looks into measuring the effect of inspections on the probability of casualty on either seriousness or casualty first event to show the differences across the regimes. It further gives a link of casualties that were found during inspections with either the seriousness of casualties and casualty first events which reveals three areas of improvement possibilities to potentially decrease the probability of a casualty – the ISM code, machinery and equipment and ship and cargo operations.

Port State Control Effectiveness, binary logistic regression, casualty first events, correspondence analysis, detention, improvement, maritime safety, port state control deficiences, probability of casualty, target factor
Insurance; Insurance Companies (jel G22), Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities (jel L9), Railroads and Other Surface Transportation: Autos, Buses, Trucks, and Water Carriers; Ports (jel L92), Transportation: Demand; Supply; Congestion; Safety and Accidents (jel R41)
Econometric Institute Research Papers
Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Erasmus School of Economics

Knapp, S, & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (2006). Effect and Improvement Areas for Port State Control Inspections to Decrease the Probability of Casualty (No. EI 2006-32). Report / Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam. Retrieved from