Prostate Health Index improves multivariable risk prediction of aggressive prostate cancer
Objective: To examine the use of the Prostate Health Index (PHI) as a continuous variable in multivariable risk assessment for aggressive prostate cancer in a large multicentre US study.
Materials and Methods: The study population included 728 men, with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels of 2-10 ng/mL and a negative digital rectal examination, enrolled in a prospective, multi-site early detection trial. The primary endpoint was aggressive prostate cancer, defined as biopsy Gleason score ≥7. First, we evaluated whether the addition of PHI improves the performance of currently available risk calculators. We also designed and internally validated a new PHI-based multivariable predictive model, and created a nomogram.
Results: Of 728 men undergoing biopsy, 118 had aggressive prostate cancer. The PHI predicted the risk of aggressive prostate cancer across the spectrum of values. Adding PHI significantly improved the predictive accuracy of the PCPT and ERSPC risk calculators for aggressive disease. A new model was created using age, previous biopsy, prostate volume, PSA and PHI, with an area under the curve of 0.746. The bootstrap-corrected model showed good calibration with observed risk for aggressive prostate cancer and had net benefit on decision-curve analysis.
Conclusion: Using PHI as part of multivariable risk assessment leads to a significant improvement in the detection of aggressive prostate cancer, potentially reducing harms from unnecessary prostate biopsy and overdiagnosis.
|Keywords||Nomogram, Prostate biopsy, Prostate cancer, Prostate Health Index, Risk assessment|
|Persistent URL||dx.doi.org/10.1111/bju.13676, hdl.handle.net/1765/96690|
Loeb, S, Shin, S.S, Broyles, D.L, Wei, J.T, Sanda, M.G, Klee, G.G, … Catalona, W.J. (2016). Prostate Health Index improves multivariable risk prediction of aggressive prostate cancer. BJU International. doi:10.1111/bju.13676