Dynamic population health modeling for quantitative health impact assessment : Methodological foundation and selective applications
(Dynamisch modelleren van de volksgezondheid voor kwantitatieve gezondheidseffectschatting: Methodologische onderbouwing en geselecteerde toepassingen)
2011-11-18
Doctoral Thesis
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Health Impact Assessment (HIA) – the evaluation policies, projects, or proposals concerning their effects on human health – becomes increasingly common practice at the local, national, and EU-level. So far, no standard tool exists to aid the quantification step in HIA. This thesis proposes dynamic population health modeling as a methodological foundation for quantitative HIA by motivating and introducing a ready-to-use software tool for this purpose: DYNAMO-HIA. This tool is equipped with a unique and novel data-set, covering the most important life-style risk factors (alcohol, smoking, obesity) and a number of related chronic diseases enabling to conduct HIAs for most EU countries. In addition, selected applications are presented ranging from the health consequences of an EU-wide tax increase on alcohol to the quantification of the life-long health benefits of reducing obesity when entering adulthood.
- EU
- cancer
- simulation
- mortality
- prevalence
- smoking
- incidence
- BMI
- COPD
- life expectancy
- alcohol
- diabetes
- HIA
- health impact assessment
- chronic diseases
- health technology assessment
- DYNAMO
- EHIA
- EIA
- HTA
- Markov Model
- disability expectatncy
- environmental health impact assessment
- environmental impact assessment
- lifestyle risk factors
- macro-simulation
- micro-simulation
- mod
- patient level modeling
- public health economics
- tobacco
- 0.0
- disease
- health
- model
- factor
- 0.1
- population
- mortality
- state
- dynamo-hia
- alcohol
- health impact assessment
- prevalence
- policy
- cancer
- impact
- scenario
- effect
- price
- transition